2016 NFL Week 5 Predictions

Week 5 Predictions:

Ravens -4 over Ethnics Slurs, 27-20

-Home team, Kirk Cousin can’t figure out the red zone, and Ravens are a better coached and more disciplined team. Kirk is a decent fantasy play though: Derek Carr lit this Ravens team up last week after all.

Pats -10.5 over Browns, 27-13

-Normally the Browns are a trap team for the Pats, but in Brady’s return? No way. The amount of offensive weapons for the Pats might be more limited than you think though. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Edelman and Blount are both out.

Eagles -3 over Lions, 23-17

-Lions are falling apart with injuries, and the Eagles are rolling. Nice schedule for them, but the wins count so this is probably a playoff team.

Bears +5 over Colts, 20-23

-Colts shouldn’t be favored over anyone by that much right now. Brian Hoyer may hold onto this job long term as well, and should be successful even with Kevin White going on IR.

Titans -3.5 over Fins, 20-10

-Fins are a mess, Titans are about the same consistent team each week. They are going to run, a lot. The Fins look to be a mess all over the place, and have a disrupted week anyways with hurricane concerns.

Vikings -6.5 over Texans, 24-16

-This is starting to be about “proper respect” for this team. Should be another hohum win with few people betting on this team.

Steelers -7 over Jets, 31-17

-Jets are hurting a little, and what was supposed to their strength (cornerback play) has absolutely been their weakness. That’s not good versus the Steelers.

Falcons +4.5 over Broncos, 26-24

-Broncos are still a run first, play close and win with defense team. I hate lines over 3 with those teams, and the Falcons have been great. Statement wins over both participants in last year’s Super Bowl would be great for them.

Bengals -2 over Cowboys, 24-20

-Stay away from this game. Bengals are more consistent and dynamic, but the Cowboys will run it regardless and play possession ball.

Rams -2 over Bills, 17-10

-Low confidence pick. I just still don’t think the Bills are that good. They scored 16 points in a “blow out”.

Raiders -3.5 over Chargers, 35-31

-Take the over. This should be a shootout as the Raiders are really good and Phillip Rivers still has his deal with the devil to be productive no matter who his receivers are. The Raiders are a more well-rounded and also healthier team, and get a win here.

Packers -7 over Giants, 29-20

-Something is off with the Giants offense. Aaron Rodgers has had 2 weeks to prep and examine the offense and his practice. Jordy Nelson has had that much time to continue his recovery and gain confidence in the knee. I feel pretty good about this one even though the line is relatively high. Beckham as a distraction is factor as well.

Bucs (whatever the line is) over Panthers, 27-23

-Something is wrong in Carolina. Cam’s health aside, the issues in the secondary are very real so I am going to be taking the Bucs as long as they are getting some points at all.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 9-5

By Spread: 8-6

Record this year:

Straight Up: 32-28

By Spread: 23-36

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 967-542
By Spread: 788-706