NFL 2011 Week 7 Predictions

The week 7 lines have to be quick, busy week:

Lions -3.5 over Falcons, 24-20

-Falcons are not dynamic enough but the combination of a familiar playing turf for Atlanta and the absence of Best make this close enough that I wouldn’t blame you for taking the points.

Bears -1 over Bucs, 24-17

-No Blount, Bucs don’t play as well on the road as the Bears do, and it is too cold. Also, the Bucs advantage in coverage is negative by the complete lack of talent in the Bears WR. Forte should have a big day.

Dolphins -1 over Broncos, 17-13

-I don’t believe in Tebow and do believe in the Dolphins D. I see a big game from Daniel Thomas, though Brandon Marshall should be negated.

Texans +3.5 over Titans, 21-20

-I wouldn’t want to pick a victory but with 3.5 you have to take it. The Titans are much less talented but are significantly more healthy and rested off the bye. Texans could put a stranglehold on the division with a win here, and I think that they know that.

Chargers -1 over Jets, 28-14

-I love the Chargers here because they have something good going with the running game and the Jets cannot stop the run. Sure, Revis takes out V-Jax but I don’t think it matters because V-Jax isn’t fully healthy anyways and Gates will be back.

Cards +4.5 over Steelers, 21-20

-It is close and the points are vital. The Steelers have to get tripped up and the Cards have had two weeks (or two years perhaps) to coordinate their efforts against the Steelers.

Packers -9 over Vikings, 27-10

-Adrian Peterson cannot make up for a rookie QB. Packers roll onward.

Rams +14.5 over Cowboys, 14-24

-Dallas wins easily but the Rams will be throwing from behind so much it will within the two touchdown spread.

Saints -13.5 over Colts, 31-13

-The Saints will not let the WRs beat them, so the Colts will look rather pathetic. The Saints need this game, are at home, and will have the memory of last week’s stinging loss to motivate them. Having Sean Payton for the whole time will help.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 10-2

By Spread: 7-5

Record this year:

Straight Up: 53-21

By Spread: 42-33

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 309-154
By Spread: 251-211

BLISS