NFL 2012 Week 6 Predictions

Top 6

1. Atlanta

2. Houston

3. Chicago

4. San Francisco

5. New England

6. Baltimore

Bottom 6

27. Buffalo

28. Oakland

29. Kansas City

30. New York Jets  

31. Jacksonville

32. Cleveland

Bengals -2.5 over Browns, 24-13

-I just don’t see how the Browns can score with the Bengals. The Bengals aren’t great, but they aren’t bad either. The Browns are actually bad. How is this a 2.5 point line?

-Best Eliminator Pick

Cowboys +3.5 over Ravens, 24-27

-I trust the Ravens late in games and at home, but 3.5 covers too much. Flacco does tend to have big games at home, but this has the makings of a close one with the Cowboys being so rested.

Lions +4.5 over Eagles, 27-23

-I smell upset. Eagles’ mistakes have to come back to bite them somewhere. This would bring them to .500. Hopefully the Lions spent the bye week getting Stafford and Calvin fully healthy and rearranging the defense.

Colts +3.5 over Jets, 17-13

-See here is what happens. The Jets are that team that is a decent title contender, probably not upper echelon but good. They get some really devastating injuries. However, they slug out the next few weeks on something like muscle memory.  They go through the motions, believe, etc. And it covers them for a couple of good performances. But eventually, it all goes downhill when the pure lack of talent catches up. See, 2011 Chicago Bears. And we know how that ends.

Falcons -9.5 over Raiders, 31-17

-Predicting this cover makes me nervous with a team coming off the bye. However, the Falcons are still really good and will put up points. Raiders will make mistakes trying to match.

-2^nd Best Eliminator Pick

Rams +4.5 over Dolphins, 13-10

-Too close to call, take the points. Greg the Leg leads them to another victory.

Patriots -3.5 over Seahawks, 27-10

-I see the ARI-NE repeat possibilities here, especially because this is in Seattle. But I really think NE is in a better place, clicking on offense in a different way than three weeks ago. And Seattle has shown that while they have some really strong elements to their team, their quarterbacks cannot compete with Tom Brady to put up enough points. NE rolls again.

Vikings +3.5 over Ethnic Slurs, 21-20

-Washington has to slow down at some point. I thought it would be the injuries to the defense, but they are only partially slowing this train down. RG3 really being hurt however would not slow them down as much as put up a steel wall in front of them. Which is why I have no idea why they would throw him out there this week even if he passes their tests. But they will, so this’ll be close.

Giants +7.5 over 49ers, 24-27

-The line is just too big. Even 6.5 would be too much. I think the 49ers probably win this at home, but again it is close so the points make sense.

Packers +3.5 over Texans, 27-26

-Packers are desperate and need this. I also think this may be a case of a team scoring touchdowns versus a team scoring FGs. Points are nice but I really think Green Bay just wins this outright. Simply a case of need here, not skill levels. Houston may win in that case, but GB feels the fire pressing on them to succeed.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 6-3

By Spread: 4-5

Record this year:

Straight Up: 39-26

By Spread: 31-33

Record last year:

Straight Up: 144-66

By Spread: 111-95

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 428-223
By Spread: 351-306

MIKE