NFL 2014 Week 15 Predictions

Week 15 Predictions

Falcons +3 over Steelers, 24-23

-The Steelers are so aggravating and have a bad pass defense. I’ll take the points.

Ravens -13.5 over Jags, 34-6

-Blowout time.

Packers -4 over Bills, 35-20

-Bills fought Broncos hard last week, but the Packers are operating on a different level right now. Rodgers continues his MVP march. The 2010 Brady campaign is my favorite quarterbacking season (36 TDs, 4 INTS), more than 2007 Brady or 2013 Manning or any of the other great seasons. This Rodgers one so far is bettering that 2010 season.

Colts -6.5 over Texans, 28-17

-A shaky status for Andre Johnson and other Texans make what was a decent change fall to nil. Colts need this to seal the division and get it.

Raiders +10 over Chiefs, 13-22

-Just a feeling. This Raiders team is feisty.

Pats -7.5 over Fins, 37-24

-Pats at home in December versus a disintegrating Dolphins team. I’ll take it.

Chargers +4.5 over Broncos, 27-28

-These games seem to be close and the Chargers are still alive.

Lions -7.5 over Viks, 24-13

-The Vikings are going to struggle mightily in moving the ball, and Megatron is rolling at this point.

Seahawks -9.5 over SF, 28-10

-A much different game than just a few weeks ago. The Niners are about to combust. Seattle is going to happily watch.

Saints -3 over Bears, 27-23

-I don’t….I can’t….just give me my Saints and let me burrow into my hole.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 9-3

By Spread: 6-5

Record this year:

Straight Up: 105-59

By Spread: 84-78

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 772-414
By Spread: 622-548

NFL 2014 Week 13 Predictions

Week 13 Predictions

Lions -7 over Bears, 30-17

-The Lions are a better team than their record over the last month or so. They right the ship here.

Cowboys -3 over Eagles, 27-20

-Mark Sanchez in a big game on national TV on the road….yup.

Seahawks +1 over 49ers, 24-22

-I’ve always been on this side of the ledger. This 49ers team is weak. Seahawks pounce.

Ravens -5.5 over Chargers, 30-23

-The Patriots are 1 of 2 teams in the top 10 in offense, defense, and special teams. The other team is the Baltimore Ravens.

Colts -9.5 over Ethnic Slurs, 34-16

-This line couldn’t be too much. Colts will get it right here and Luck pushes an absurd yardage total.

Giants -2.5 over Jags, 26-13

-Giants are a bad team, but not as bad as Jacksonville is. The offense can produce some points, enough to win.

Rams -7 over Raiders, 17-9

-Rams are a touch little team. Raiders got their win and are about to fully pack it in for the season.

Bengals -4 over Bucs, 23-14

-I will not be watching this game. Bengals take care of business, but that’s about it here.

Saints +3.5 over Steelers, 31-30

-I don’t know what to do with the Saints. I have no idea. So I am taking the 3.5 points and Brees over Ben.

Cards -2.5 over Falcons, 20-16

-Ugh. Probably will be a painful game to watch.

Pats +3 over Packers, 34-30

-If I get points with the Pats, I’m taking it. The offenses are very close in ability. The defenses are not.

Chiefs +1.5 over Broncos, 27-24

-I have a feeling. The Chiefs are equipped to beat this team, especially with the offense line issues the Broncos are having.

Fins -5.5 over Jets, 26-6

-Yes please. Lock of the week.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 9-3

By Spread: 7-5

Record this year:

Straight Up: 89-50

By Spread: 73-65

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 756-405
By Spread: 611-535

NFL 2014 Week 12 Predictions

Week 12 Predictions

Browns +3 over Falcons, 27-20

-This is exactly the type of game the “first place” Falcons lose. Josh Gordon + Hoyer is the second best deep ball thrower efficiency wise + Falcons cover WRs about as well as a HS secondary would.

Colts -13.5 over Jags, 34-17

-Oh boy.

Packers -9 over Vikings, 41-14

-Oh boy again.

Pats -7 over Lions, 27-17

-The Lions defense will be tough, but the Pats are just vibing right now. Detroit also has no answer for Gronk.

Eagles -11 over Titans, 27-10

-Sanchez is bad, but the whole Titans team is bad. Weird game that I won’t be watching very much of.

Rams +5 over Bolts, 23-14

-Chargers are going the WRONG direction.

Cards +7 over Seahawks, 20-24

-A good game that the Seahawks probably win at home. But when the probable number 1 seed is getting 7 points, you take it.

Dolphins +7 over Broncos, 27-26

-The interior line issues for the Broncos are very real, and the Dolphins can exploit that. They can also show with the Broncos enough to win this game.

Niners -9 over Ethnic Slurs, 17-12

-I don’t like either team, but the Niners just have far more talent. I won’t be watching any part of this game.

Cowboys -4 over Giants, 20-6

-A slugfest that will be ugly to watch, punctuated by a few big hits to Dez.

Bills -2.5 over Jets, 24-13

-A tough game that will probably be very disjointed. Bills have more talent, so I think that will

Saints -3 over Ravens, 31-23

-Both teams really need it, and at some point at night on national TV at home the Saints will right this ship. I’ve been there all year on the Saints bandwagon: if it goes off the cliff I’ll be on it.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 4-6

By Spread: 3-7

Record this year:

Straight Up: 80-47

By Spread: 66-60

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 747-402
By Spread: 604-530

NFL 2014 Week 6 Predictions

Week 6 Predictions

Colts -2.5 over Texans, 31-14

-Another blowout? Another blowout.

Ravens -3.5 over Bucs, 20-13

-Low scoring and boring, but the Bucs aren’t nearly as good as Baltimore is. This is especially true for their front 7. 

Broncos -9.5 over Jets, 28-15

-The Jets may do a respectable job on defense and the Broncos are little inflated because they have played 3 of 4 at home. However, this is still a mismatch.

Lions -1.5 over Vikings, 27-23

-A lot depends on Calvin, but I think the Lions are just better regardless. Teddy being back will help though, as the Viks won’t be able to run the ball anyways.

Pats -3 over the Bills, 30-26

-This isn’t Pats/Bills of the last ten years. But it is also Brady versus Orton. I’ll take the Pats.

Browns -1 over Steelers, 21-20

-The Steelers aren’t good. The Browns are….decent?  

Packers -3 over Dolphins, 38-34

-Shootout, but Rodgers is vibing right now. But numbers for everyone involved.

Chargers -7.5 over Raiders, 31-10

-Not even a question. And Rivers, somehow is our MVP front runner.

Seahawks -9 over Cowboys, 28-17

-Seattle will be the first this year to stop Murray, and Romo throws 3 picks after that trying to press.

Cardinals -3.5 over Ethnic Slurs, 24-20

-The Cardinals are a great team example of how good you can be without a quarterback. Hopefully they find the answer soon, because the amount you can succeed without one is drying up.

Rams +3.5 over 49ers, 23-21

-Tough, physical game, and I continue to think the Niners are much worse than their listed record.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 7-4

By Spread: 5-6

Record this year:

Straight Up: 37-26

By Spread: 29-33

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 703-381
By Spread: 567-503

NFL 2014 Week 5 Predictions

Week 5 Predictions

Packers -10 over Vikings , 31-13

-With no Bridgewater, the Vikings have no chance. Plus, your weekly Thursday Night Football blowout is obviously in play.

Bears +2.5 over Panthers, 27-16

-One team can score, one team can’t. Also, the Panthers might be starting me at running back this week.

Lions -7 over Bills, 27-19

-This is the adjustment week to Kyle Orton. I think that QB change works out for them overall, but versus the Lions the Bills will have a hard time running the ball. Calvin being healthier will lead them to a win.

Ravens +3.5 over Colts, 23-24

-Just too close for this to be 3.5 points. Baltimore’s media disaster this year is shielding that this is actually a pretty decent team. Andrew Luck, though, continues the streak he is on and grinds out yet another close win in his early career.

Saints -10 over Bucs, 38-27

-If the Saints don’t get it right here, they will never get it right. I’m starting numerous Saints in 1 time use only eliminator leagues.

Eagles -7 over Rams, 30-20

-Eagles are going to score an offensive touchdown. Write it down now, I predicted it. The Rams are a nice team, but I don’t think even off a bye they can score with the Eagles.

Browns +2 over Titans, 24-13

-I don’t think the Titans are good. I know Locker/Whitehurst are no good. The Browns are coming off a bye, and will be well prepared for this game.

Cards +7.5 over Broncos, 27-26

-That Arizona defense is for real. If Demaryus Thomas THOUGHT he was having a bad year, watch out for when he meets Patrick Peterson.

Chargers  -6.5 over Jets, 27-14

-Still hate the Jets. So does Geno Smith, so this is an easy one.

Chiefs +6 over 49ers, 20-17

-I continue to say the Niners aren’t particularly good. We will see how that holds up here.

Pats +1.5 over Bengals, 24-23

-Okay, this is it. If the Pats get blown out, I will step away from my prediction of them as a good team that is going to win 12 games every year. And the Bengals are a tough test. But A. Brady/Belichick don’t lose at home. B. Brady/Belichick don’t lose prime time games. C. Brady/Belichick don’t lose consecutive games. D. Brady/Belichick aren’t scared of Andy Dalton. Here, my thought is if this Pats team is a normal Pats team that is just going through a tough stretch, they will grind this one out behind a pounding running game and some nicely timed turnovers. The return of Brandon Browner should help the secondary improve overall because it allows others to slide back a place or two.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 5-7

By Spread: 5-6

Record this year:

Straight Up: 30-22

By Spread: 24-27

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 694-377
By Spread: 562-497

NFL 2014 Week 1 Predictions

Week 1 Predictions

Saints -3 over Falcons

-I think the Falcons rebound and have a good season, but the Saints are my Super Bowl pick and I think they put up some numbers in this one.

Vikings +3.5 over Rams

-I don’t know what Shaun Hill is going to do. I know what Peterson is going to do. I like getting 3.5 points in close defensive games. Questions?

Steelers -7 over Browns

-Death, taxes, and Steelers beating the Browns. 25-5 over the last 15 years or so.

Eagles -10.5 over Jags

-I feel weird about this pick. The Eagles are going to win, but if the Jags have a sneaky good 6-10 season with some close losses, I wouldn’t be surprised. I like Gus Bradley. This might be a strong tease candidate.

Raiders +5.5 over Jets

-I believe in Derek Carr. I can’t fully explain why, but I really do. And with this Jets secondary being so horrid, I think he can really get his career off to a good start.

                                                                                   

Bengals +1 over Ravens

-This should be close, but the Bengals might have the lines in the AFC on both sides and should dominate this game. I am not sure the Ravens could run anyways, but especially not here.

Bears -7 over Bills

-Marrone fighting with refs on the daily? Bears romp this. Byrd is in NO now, and that hurts the Bills trying to cover the Bears’ receivers deep.

Texans -3 over Ethnic Slurs

-Washington may be a mess, and the Texans are way undervalued right now. I believe in Bill O’Brien.

Chiefs -3 over Titans

-Probably will be a rough game, but I don’t trust Locker.

Pats -5 over Dolphins

-I love Tannehill but not in these games. Pats roll right through. The new look Pats defense will be fascinating to watch.

Colts +8 over Broncos

-Broncos are adjusting on defense, have lost a lot on offense, and this is a good spot for the Colts, who beat Manning last year, to at least cover. In Luck I trust.

Lions -6 over Giants

-There is no way to properly measure how bad I think the Giants are going to be.

The other games are stay aways: Panthers are a mess, the 49ers are a mess, and Arizona-Chargers should be an awesome and close game.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 1-0

By Spread: 1-0

Record last year:
Straight Up: 125-72
By Spread: 101-97

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 664-355
By Spread: 538-470

NFL 2013 Week 17 Predictions

Bengals -6 over Ravens, 24-16

-Bengals are playing for a possible bye, and the Ravens are coming apart a bit. I wouldn’t trust Flacco’s knee here, and since you can’t trust any of Ray Rice…

Pats -8.5 over Bills, 34-16

-Pats need this, and are rounding into form. They want to earn that week off.

Falcons +6 over Panthers, 17-20

-Falcons are playing everyone close, the Panthers are pretty injured, and it may be a low scoring game. Taking the points.

Steelers -7 over Browns, 24-7

-Steelers need this to have any shot at the playoffs, so they get it.

Packers -3 over Bears, 29-24

-Rodgers is back, and the Bears are ready to disintegrate.

Jags +11.5 over Colts, 20-24

-They hang in every game.

Texans +7.5 over Titans, 19-20

-Just too many points for a team this talented, even on the road.

Fins -5.5 over Jets, 20-13

-Jets have pulled a lot of magic tricks to get even this many wins, but the Dolphins need this to get into the playoffs.

Eagles -6 over Cowboys, 37-23

-This could actually be a big blowout.

-Strategic Eliminator Pick

Saints -13 over Bucs, 31-17

-A “take care of business” game for the Saints, which I think straightens them out and gets them primed for the first round. It is interesting, everyone has given up on this team. But they will probably beat the Bucs and then have a good chance at the Packers or Eagles. I am not counting this team out quite yet.

Chargers -9.5 over Chiefs, 30-10

-Meaningless game for the Chiefs, who haven’t been exactly stout on defense anyways.

Cards pk over 49ers, 17-15

-The Falcons played the Niners so tough, and the Cards need the win more desperately than San Francisco does.

Seahawks -10.5 over Rams, 24-10

-Still my favorite to win the whole thing, the Seahawks take care of business here and clinch home field throughout.

-Best Eliminator Pick

Record last week:

Straight Up: 6-5

By Spread: 4-7

Record this year:
Straight Up: 108-66
By Spread: 88-87

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 647-349
By Spread: 525-460

NFL 2013 Week 11 Predictions

Eagles -4 over Ethnic Slurs, 27-21

-Foles and Desean Jackson are awesome plays here in weekly leagues.

Cards -9.5 over Jags, 24-13

-Is it safe to guarantee a defensive touchdown? Well, I’m doing it anyways.

Bengals -6 over Browns, 20-10

-Bengals are limping but still a decent team. I think.

Lions -1 over Steelers, 35-14

Hasn’t happened since 1955, but it is happening this year. Lions win in the Steel City. Megatron goes OFF.

-Strategic Eliminator Pick.

Chargers -1 over Dolphins, 27-20

-Chargers are the better team. Also, they haven’t recently lost two linemen to bullying issues.

Giants -4.5 over Packers, 24-14

-Weird. But I guess this is where I am going?

Seahawks -12 over Vikings, 30-9

-Struggling to see any scenario where the Vikings can win. Or come close. Or should even show up.

-Best Eliminator Pick.

Saints -3.5 over 49ers, 31-16

-Saints aren’t losing this game at home. And 49ers aren’t that great. And Brees has a monstrous day.

Chiefs +9.5 over Broncos, 27-24

-Chiefs are ready to go, they have all these exciting plays ready to go that they’ve been hoarding, and they are going to throw everything in the world at Peyton’s knees/ankles.

Patriots +1.5 over Panthers, 24-16

-Pats will struggle to get 24, but that 24 will be more than the Panthers can muster. Plus the Panthers get the “week after someone plays the Seahawks or Niners they are too beat up to compete physically” after effect.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 5-4
By Spread: 6-3

Record this year: 
Straight Up: 69-40
By Spread: 57-52

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 608-323
By Spread: 494-425