NFL 2014 Week 15 Predictions

Week 15 Predictions

Falcons +3 over Steelers, 24-23

-The Steelers are so aggravating and have a bad pass defense. I’ll take the points.

Ravens -13.5 over Jags, 34-6

-Blowout time.

Packers -4 over Bills, 35-20

-Bills fought Broncos hard last week, but the Packers are operating on a different level right now. Rodgers continues his MVP march. The 2010 Brady campaign is my favorite quarterbacking season (36 TDs, 4 INTS), more than 2007 Brady or 2013 Manning or any of the other great seasons. This Rodgers one so far is bettering that 2010 season.

Colts -6.5 over Texans, 28-17

-A shaky status for Andre Johnson and other Texans make what was a decent change fall to nil. Colts need this to seal the division and get it.

Raiders +10 over Chiefs, 13-22

-Just a feeling. This Raiders team is feisty.

Pats -7.5 over Fins, 37-24

-Pats at home in December versus a disintegrating Dolphins team. I’ll take it.

Chargers +4.5 over Broncos, 27-28

-These games seem to be close and the Chargers are still alive.

Lions -7.5 over Viks, 24-13

-The Vikings are going to struggle mightily in moving the ball, and Megatron is rolling at this point.

Seahawks -9.5 over SF, 28-10

-A much different game than just a few weeks ago. The Niners are about to combust. Seattle is going to happily watch.

Saints -3 over Bears, 27-23

-I don’t….I can’t….just give me my Saints and let me burrow into my hole.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 9-3

By Spread: 6-5

Record this year:

Straight Up: 105-59

By Spread: 84-78

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 772-414
By Spread: 622-548

NFL 2014 Week 14 Predictions

Week 14 Predictions

Bengals -3 over Steelers, 24-20

-I don’t believe the Steelers are a good team, especially on defense. The Bengals at least have some pieces. Big game from Bell though, matched by Green.

Colts -3.5 over Browns, 28-24

-This has nothing to do with the Hoyer start, which I agree with. The Colts are just better and know they need to win a few more games even in their generally pathetic division. Hilton taken away by Haden though.  

Lions -9.5 over Bucs, 35-20

-Start your Lions WRs!

Texans -6 over Jags, 24-9

-Texans are a competent football team. That’s about what I got.

Vikings -6 over Jets, 27-6

-The Jets are not a competent football team. The Vikings are sneakily competent and a good sleeper for next year assuming some growth and more consistency. Love the Vikings DST here.

Saints -9.5 over Panthers, 34-13

-These teams are going in the opposite directions, and, as always, I’m riding NO.

Rams -3 over Ethnic Slurs, 23-12

-The Rams are like the Vikings, just need that QB. I would pay money to watch Mariota on this team.

Broncos -10 over Bills, 31-14

-I don’t like it, but this will indeed be ugly. The only hope is the mismatch between DEN’s OLine and the BUF DLine….but that doesn’t make up for all the issues EVERYWHERE else in Denver’s favor.

Raiders +8 over 49ers, 13-19

-Yes, I’m serious. The 49ers aren’t good, and are a few bad breaks from the team revolting on Jim Harbaugh. Just cover baby.

Seahawks +2 over Eagles, 24-20

-Seahawks are getting points in any scenario, and I’m taking them despite everything else going on. Mark Sanchez still terrifies me.

Patriots -3.5 over Chargers, 36-23

-Pats don’t lose two in a row.

Packers -12.5 over Falcons, 31-17

-Domed war weather team going to Green Bay in winter. Yup. Rodgers all but ends the MVP discussion with ANOTHER huge game.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 7-6

By Spread: 5-8

Record this year:

Straight Up: 96-56

By Spread: 78-73

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 763-411
By Spread: 616-543

NFL 2014 Week 13 Predictions

Week 13 Predictions

Lions -7 over Bears, 30-17

-The Lions are a better team than their record over the last month or so. They right the ship here.

Cowboys -3 over Eagles, 27-20

-Mark Sanchez in a big game on national TV on the road….yup.

Seahawks +1 over 49ers, 24-22

-I’ve always been on this side of the ledger. This 49ers team is weak. Seahawks pounce.

Ravens -5.5 over Chargers, 30-23

-The Patriots are 1 of 2 teams in the top 10 in offense, defense, and special teams. The other team is the Baltimore Ravens.

Colts -9.5 over Ethnic Slurs, 34-16

-This line couldn’t be too much. Colts will get it right here and Luck pushes an absurd yardage total.

Giants -2.5 over Jags, 26-13

-Giants are a bad team, but not as bad as Jacksonville is. The offense can produce some points, enough to win.

Rams -7 over Raiders, 17-9

-Rams are a touch little team. Raiders got their win and are about to fully pack it in for the season.

Bengals -4 over Bucs, 23-14

-I will not be watching this game. Bengals take care of business, but that’s about it here.

Saints +3.5 over Steelers, 31-30

-I don’t know what to do with the Saints. I have no idea. So I am taking the 3.5 points and Brees over Ben.

Cards -2.5 over Falcons, 20-16

-Ugh. Probably will be a painful game to watch.

Pats +3 over Packers, 34-30

-If I get points with the Pats, I’m taking it. The offenses are very close in ability. The defenses are not.

Chiefs +1.5 over Broncos, 27-24

-I have a feeling. The Chiefs are equipped to beat this team, especially with the offense line issues the Broncos are having.

Fins -5.5 over Jets, 26-6

-Yes please. Lock of the week.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 9-3

By Spread: 7-5

Record this year:

Straight Up: 89-50

By Spread: 73-65

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 756-405
By Spread: 611-535

NFL 2014 Week 7 Predictions

Week 7 Predictions

Ravens -7 over Falcons, 30-17

-Falcons are falling apart. Take out the win over Tampa and those numbers look UGLY.

Seahawks -7 over Rams, 27-7

-Seahawks aren’t losing two in a row and the Seahawks are better than the 49ers team that ran by a Rams team they spotted them two scores last week.

Browns -5.5 over Jags, 17-9

-Tough game, winnable I guess by the Jags. However, if the Browns want to be for real this is a “take care of business win”. Like NE over Oakland in a way.

Colts -3.5 over Bengals, 24-20

-After week 2, this would have been a big line FOR the Bengals. Now, they are legit dogs, and going to lose this one to a roaring Andrew Luck.

Bills -5.5 over Vikings, 20-10

-Bills defense is going to step up after the embarrassing loss to Brady and NE. The Vikings have problems all over the place and no running game is going to help them here.

Saints +3 over Lions, 24-20

-Off the bye, even without Graham, the Saints get on track versus the Lions who are missing Megatron. Brees finds a way.

Packers -7 over Panthers, 37-23

-Seems high, so this is probably a stay away. But the Packers are coming on strong and aren’t really hitting their high point on offense yet. It is coming.

Chargers -4 over Chiefs,

-Tough spot for the Chiefs, but the Chargers showed what I wanted to see last week in that trap game versus Oakland.

Cards -3.5 over Raiders, 20-13

-My eliminator lock of the week, despite the uncertainty here. Just shows the randomness of this particular week. The Cards get that leaky pass defense fixed and physically shove the Raiders around.

Cowboys -6.5 over Giants, 24-13

-I haven’t figured each of these teams out to be honest, but I do know the Cowboys can run the ball. The Giants will feel the loss of Cruz here and going forward.

49ers +6.5 over Broncos, 23-24

-Just taking the points. One of these slow starts is going to stick the Broncos in a hole they can’t get out of. Maybe it is this week. Either way, the points should be enough.

On the Texans-Steelers game, I have no idea. Just take the under.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 9-2

By Spread: 7-3

Record this year:

Straight Up: 46-28

By Spread: 36-36

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 712-383
By Spread: 574-506

NFL 2014 Week 6 Predictions

Week 6 Predictions

Colts -2.5 over Texans, 31-14

-Another blowout? Another blowout.

Ravens -3.5 over Bucs, 20-13

-Low scoring and boring, but the Bucs aren’t nearly as good as Baltimore is. This is especially true for their front 7. 

Broncos -9.5 over Jets, 28-15

-The Jets may do a respectable job on defense and the Broncos are little inflated because they have played 3 of 4 at home. However, this is still a mismatch.

Lions -1.5 over Vikings, 27-23

-A lot depends on Calvin, but I think the Lions are just better regardless. Teddy being back will help though, as the Viks won’t be able to run the ball anyways.

Pats -3 over the Bills, 30-26

-This isn’t Pats/Bills of the last ten years. But it is also Brady versus Orton. I’ll take the Pats.

Browns -1 over Steelers, 21-20

-The Steelers aren’t good. The Browns are….decent?  

Packers -3 over Dolphins, 38-34

-Shootout, but Rodgers is vibing right now. But numbers for everyone involved.

Chargers -7.5 over Raiders, 31-10

-Not even a question. And Rivers, somehow is our MVP front runner.

Seahawks -9 over Cowboys, 28-17

-Seattle will be the first this year to stop Murray, and Romo throws 3 picks after that trying to press.

Cardinals -3.5 over Ethnic Slurs, 24-20

-The Cardinals are a great team example of how good you can be without a quarterback. Hopefully they find the answer soon, because the amount you can succeed without one is drying up.

Rams +3.5 over 49ers, 23-21

-Tough, physical game, and I continue to think the Niners are much worse than their listed record.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 7-4

By Spread: 5-6

Record this year:

Straight Up: 37-26

By Spread: 29-33

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 703-381
By Spread: 567-503

NFL 2014 Week 5 Predictions

Week 5 Predictions

Packers -10 over Vikings , 31-13

-With no Bridgewater, the Vikings have no chance. Plus, your weekly Thursday Night Football blowout is obviously in play.

Bears +2.5 over Panthers, 27-16

-One team can score, one team can’t. Also, the Panthers might be starting me at running back this week.

Lions -7 over Bills, 27-19

-This is the adjustment week to Kyle Orton. I think that QB change works out for them overall, but versus the Lions the Bills will have a hard time running the ball. Calvin being healthier will lead them to a win.

Ravens +3.5 over Colts, 23-24

-Just too close for this to be 3.5 points. Baltimore’s media disaster this year is shielding that this is actually a pretty decent team. Andrew Luck, though, continues the streak he is on and grinds out yet another close win in his early career.

Saints -10 over Bucs, 38-27

-If the Saints don’t get it right here, they will never get it right. I’m starting numerous Saints in 1 time use only eliminator leagues.

Eagles -7 over Rams, 30-20

-Eagles are going to score an offensive touchdown. Write it down now, I predicted it. The Rams are a nice team, but I don’t think even off a bye they can score with the Eagles.

Browns +2 over Titans, 24-13

-I don’t think the Titans are good. I know Locker/Whitehurst are no good. The Browns are coming off a bye, and will be well prepared for this game.

Cards +7.5 over Broncos, 27-26

-That Arizona defense is for real. If Demaryus Thomas THOUGHT he was having a bad year, watch out for when he meets Patrick Peterson.

Chargers  -6.5 over Jets, 27-14

-Still hate the Jets. So does Geno Smith, so this is an easy one.

Chiefs +6 over 49ers, 20-17

-I continue to say the Niners aren’t particularly good. We will see how that holds up here.

Pats +1.5 over Bengals, 24-23

-Okay, this is it. If the Pats get blown out, I will step away from my prediction of them as a good team that is going to win 12 games every year. And the Bengals are a tough test. But A. Brady/Belichick don’t lose at home. B. Brady/Belichick don’t lose prime time games. C. Brady/Belichick don’t lose consecutive games. D. Brady/Belichick aren’t scared of Andy Dalton. Here, my thought is if this Pats team is a normal Pats team that is just going through a tough stretch, they will grind this one out behind a pounding running game and some nicely timed turnovers. The return of Brandon Browner should help the secondary improve overall because it allows others to slide back a place or two.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 5-7

By Spread: 5-6

Record this year:

Straight Up: 30-22

By Spread: 24-27

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 694-377
By Spread: 562-497

NFL 2014 Week 4 Predictions

Week 4 Predictions

Panthers +3.5 over Ravens, 24-23

-Steve Smith Revenge Game aside, the Panthers are a good enough team that 3.5 is just an auto selection.  

Packers -2 over Bears, 31-27

-Forte has a much better day than his season to date, but the Packers are R-E-L-A-X-E-D and will get on track. Jordy may have to have 300 yards to do so, but I’d take that.

Bills +3 over Texans, 21-20

-I don’t like either team, but I really don’t like Ryan Fitzpatrick. We see Mallett at some point this season, right?

Colts -7.5 over Titans, 27-16

-Week 1 seems to be a sham. The Titans are not good and the Colts are rounding into shape quickly.

Lions -2 over Jets, 34-15

-I don’t get it. The Jets are not good. The Lions are decent. No one can cover Megatron here. I see a romp.

Fins -3.5 over Raiders, 20-13

-Loser leaves town, coach-wise?

Steelers -7.5 over Bucs, 27-12

-Mike Glennon, I’m pulling for you.

Chargers -13 over Jags, 31-14

-Lock of the week for the Eliminator community, and Rivers should have a monster day.

Falcons -3 over Viks, 30-13

-3 points? Am I missing something?

Eagles +5 over 49ers, 24-23

-I don’t think the 49ers are good, and believe the Eagles are at least somewhat good. Chip Kelly +5 points seems like it is going to work out most weeks.

Saints -3 over Cowboys, 37-27

-It’s coming some week, and the Saints explosion might as well be this one. They own the Cowboys since Brees came to NOLA

Pats -3 over Chiefs, 24-20

-This is a really tough game to properly predict. However,  the Pats don’t typically lose prime time games, and I believe they have a line on the many Chiefs weaknesses to exploit. Brady gets the offense tooled into a better gear and they find a way to win this game.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 11-4

By Spread: 9-6

Record this year:

Straight Up: 25-15

By Spread: 19-21

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 689-370
By Spread: 557-491

NFL 2014 Week 1 Predictions

Week 1 Predictions

Saints -3 over Falcons

-I think the Falcons rebound and have a good season, but the Saints are my Super Bowl pick and I think they put up some numbers in this one.

Vikings +3.5 over Rams

-I don’t know what Shaun Hill is going to do. I know what Peterson is going to do. I like getting 3.5 points in close defensive games. Questions?

Steelers -7 over Browns

-Death, taxes, and Steelers beating the Browns. 25-5 over the last 15 years or so.

Eagles -10.5 over Jags

-I feel weird about this pick. The Eagles are going to win, but if the Jags have a sneaky good 6-10 season with some close losses, I wouldn’t be surprised. I like Gus Bradley. This might be a strong tease candidate.

Raiders +5.5 over Jets

-I believe in Derek Carr. I can’t fully explain why, but I really do. And with this Jets secondary being so horrid, I think he can really get his career off to a good start.

                                                                                   

Bengals +1 over Ravens

-This should be close, but the Bengals might have the lines in the AFC on both sides and should dominate this game. I am not sure the Ravens could run anyways, but especially not here.

Bears -7 over Bills

-Marrone fighting with refs on the daily? Bears romp this. Byrd is in NO now, and that hurts the Bills trying to cover the Bears’ receivers deep.

Texans -3 over Ethnic Slurs

-Washington may be a mess, and the Texans are way undervalued right now. I believe in Bill O’Brien.

Chiefs -3 over Titans

-Probably will be a rough game, but I don’t trust Locker.

Pats -5 over Dolphins

-I love Tannehill but not in these games. Pats roll right through. The new look Pats defense will be fascinating to watch.

Colts +8 over Broncos

-Broncos are adjusting on defense, have lost a lot on offense, and this is a good spot for the Colts, who beat Manning last year, to at least cover. In Luck I trust.

Lions -6 over Giants

-There is no way to properly measure how bad I think the Giants are going to be.

The other games are stay aways: Panthers are a mess, the 49ers are a mess, and Arizona-Chargers should be an awesome and close game.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 1-0

By Spread: 1-0

Record last year:
Straight Up: 125-72
By Spread: 101-97

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 664-355
By Spread: 538-470

NFL 2013 Week 17 Predictions

Bengals -6 over Ravens, 24-16

-Bengals are playing for a possible bye, and the Ravens are coming apart a bit. I wouldn’t trust Flacco’s knee here, and since you can’t trust any of Ray Rice…

Pats -8.5 over Bills, 34-16

-Pats need this, and are rounding into form. They want to earn that week off.

Falcons +6 over Panthers, 17-20

-Falcons are playing everyone close, the Panthers are pretty injured, and it may be a low scoring game. Taking the points.

Steelers -7 over Browns, 24-7

-Steelers need this to have any shot at the playoffs, so they get it.

Packers -3 over Bears, 29-24

-Rodgers is back, and the Bears are ready to disintegrate.

Jags +11.5 over Colts, 20-24

-They hang in every game.

Texans +7.5 over Titans, 19-20

-Just too many points for a team this talented, even on the road.

Fins -5.5 over Jets, 20-13

-Jets have pulled a lot of magic tricks to get even this many wins, but the Dolphins need this to get into the playoffs.

Eagles -6 over Cowboys, 37-23

-This could actually be a big blowout.

-Strategic Eliminator Pick

Saints -13 over Bucs, 31-17

-A “take care of business” game for the Saints, which I think straightens them out and gets them primed for the first round. It is interesting, everyone has given up on this team. But they will probably beat the Bucs and then have a good chance at the Packers or Eagles. I am not counting this team out quite yet.

Chargers -9.5 over Chiefs, 30-10

-Meaningless game for the Chiefs, who haven’t been exactly stout on defense anyways.

Cards pk over 49ers, 17-15

-The Falcons played the Niners so tough, and the Cards need the win more desperately than San Francisco does.

Seahawks -10.5 over Rams, 24-10

-Still my favorite to win the whole thing, the Seahawks take care of business here and clinch home field throughout.

-Best Eliminator Pick

Record last week:

Straight Up: 6-5

By Spread: 4-7

Record this year:
Straight Up: 108-66
By Spread: 88-87

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 647-349
By Spread: 525-460

NFL 2013 Week 13 Predictions

Lions -6 over Packers, 31-20

-SO excited this is under 7. Megatron is going to put up NUMBERS here.

Cowboys -9 over Raiders, 30-13

-Raiders are not very good, and the Cowboys are finally on the right track here.

Chiefs +6.5 over Broncos, 27-26

-Taking the points. I think the Chiefs have learned from some hurdles the last two weeks, while the Broncos just are falling back to normality.

Colts -4 over Titans, 24-16

-This will be the last week I keep the faith in Luck. I won’t go against him the rest of the year if this goes badly, but I won’t be on the train either.

Bucs +9.5 over Panthers, 20-24

-Purely a cover situation, both teams are now actually playing decently.

Cardinals +3.5 over Eagles, 21-20

-Carson Palmer is like an untrustworthy exGF. It is a bad idea to trust them again, you wince, you try not to, and somehow you decide to do it again. Carson…this is your last chance. Don’t betray my trust.

Dolphins +1.5 over Jets, 24-12

-I trust Tannehill. I don’t trust Geno. I trust Rex not to smartly play Simms over Geno. Questions?

49ers -7.5 over Rams, 24-6

-I don’t like the Niners. But I REALLY don’t like the Cunningham/Klemens-led Rams here.

-Best Eliminator Pick

Pats -8 over Texans, 38-17

-I am SO excited. Can someone say “tease with the Lions/Packers game”?

-Strategic Eliminator Pick

Bengals +2.5 over Chargers, 31-23

-Bengals should light up that horrid defense, right?

Giants -1 over Ethnic Slurs, 24-16

-Oh, YEAH!

Saints +6.5 over Seahawks, 30-31

-Just cover. And the Seahawks have kept losing cornerbacks like crazy. Don’t be surprised if the Saints just pull this out. Still, I wouldn’t go out on a limb against the Seahawks at home.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 4-5

By Spread: 6-4

Record this year:
Straight Up: 79-49
By Spread: 68-61

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 618-332
By Spread: 505-434