Thursday, December 26, 2013

NFL 2013 Week 17 Predictions


Bengals -6 over Ravens, 24-16
-Bengals are playing for a possible bye, and the Ravens are coming apart a bit. I wouldn’t trust Flacco’s knee here, and since you can’t trust any of Ray Rice…

Pats -8.5 over Bills, 34-16
-Pats need this, and are rounding into form. They want to earn that week off.

Falcons +6 over Panthers, 17-20
-Falcons are playing everyone close, the Panthers are pretty injured, and it may be a low scoring game. Taking the points.

Steelers -7 over Browns, 24-7
-Steelers need this to have any shot at the playoffs, so they get it.

Packers -3 over Bears, 29-24
-Rodgers is back, and the Bears are ready to disintegrate.

Jags +11.5 over Colts, 20-24
-They hang in every game.

Texans +7.5 over Titans, 19-20
-Just too many points for a team this talented, even on the road.

Fins -5.5 over Jets, 20-13
-Jets have pulled a lot of magic tricks to get even this many wins, but the Dolphins need this to get into the playoffs.

Eagles -6 over Cowboys, 37-23
-This could actually be a big blowout.
-Strategic Eliminator Pick

Saints -13 over Bucs, 31-17
-A “take care of business” game for the Saints, which I think straightens them out and gets them primed for the first round. It is interesting, everyone has given up on this team. But they will probably beat the Bucs and then have a good chance at the Packers or Eagles. I am not counting this team out quite yet.

Chargers -9.5 over Chiefs, 30-10
-Meaningless game for the Chiefs, who haven’t been exactly stout on defense anyways.

Cards pk over 49ers, 17-15
-The Falcons played the Niners so tough, and the Cards need the win more desperately than San Francisco does.

Seahawks -10.5 over Rams, 24-10
-Still my favorite to win the whole thing, the Seahawks take care of business here and clinch home field throughout.
-Best Eliminator Pick


Record last week:
Straight Up: 6-5
By Spread: 4-7

Record this year:
Straight Up: 108-66
By Spread: 88-87

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 647-349
By Spread: 525-460


Friday, December 20, 2013

NFL 2013 Week 16 Predictions


Texans +10.5 over Broncos, 21-31
-Just a covering situation. The Broncos have this swish cheese defense right now that probably keeps the Texans in the game.

Fins -2.5 over Bills,
-I believe in the 6th seed bound Miami Dolphins. And I believe in Ryan Tannehill.

Bengals -8.5 over Vikings,
-8.5 is a lot. I feel dirty. Giovani Bernard has a big game here though.

Saints +3 over Panthers, 27-26
-Just taking the points. The Saints aren’t nearly as good on the road, but I think they burst the Panthers’ bubble again here.

Jags +5 over Titans, 20-16
-What is so different about these teams that there is a 5 point line, IN Jacksonville? I believe in Gus Bradley, and every game without Mojo is actually a good thing for Jacksonville at this point.

Seahawks -10.5 over Cards, 34-6
-Love the Cards, but not with all these injuries. I’m sitting every Cardinal I have because this is probably going to get ugly.

Lions -9.5 over Giants, 30-17
-Giants are done, and as bad as the Lions have been lately, they need this game. It is go time. If the Lions don’t win this, it’s over for them.

Pats +2.5 over Ravens, 21-20
-Pats getting points versus a team that may not have Rice or Flacco? I’ll just take them and know I’m covering.

Chargers -10 over Raiders, 31-13
-Such a bad defense, and the Chargers need this.
-Strategic Eliminator Pick

Packers -2.5 over Steelers, 24-21
-A team that needs it versus a team that does not.

49ers -13.5 over Falcons, 20-6
-The Falcons need to actively be trying to lose, and this should be accomplished by halftime here.
-Best Eliminator Pick



Record last week:
Straight Up: 6-5
By Spread: 5-6

Record this year:
Straight Up: 102-61
By Spread: 84-80

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 641-344
By Spread: 521-453


Saturday, December 14, 2013

NFL 2013 Week 15 Predictions

Bears -1 over Browns, 21-18
-Very nervous Jay Cutler isn’t what they need to be doing.

Colts -5.5 over Texans, 20-13
-WADE PHILLIPS EVERYONE! Get excited!

Pats -1 over Fins, 24-22
-Could be close. Brady doesn’t lose in December though.

Eagles -5 over Vikings, 27-17
-No Peterson? No thanks.
-Strategic Eliminator Pick

Seahawks -7 over Giants, 24-16
-Seahawks not nearly as good on the road but they are so far and away better than the Giants this isn’t even a thought.

Chiefs -4.5 over Raiders, 16-6
-Oh man, I am so excited to see this game be a scintillating game totaling less than 30.

Panthers -11 over Jets, 26-10
-Panthers are going to be just fine. Geno has not. 11 is a lot though….tease….
-Best Eliminator Pick

Cards -2.5 over Titans, 24-14
-Playoff team versus non. This is starting to be my biggest decision making element.

Saints -6 over Rams, 31-16
-Saints take care of business, no sweat here.

Bengals -2.5 over Steelers, 21-17
-Simply a case of one team being in it and another being out.

Lions -5 over Ravens, 37-27
-Ravens just don’t score easily enough to stay into this.



Record last week:
Straight Up: 7-5
By Spread: 4-8

Record this year:
Straight Up: 96-56
By Spread: 79-74

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 635-339
By Spread: 516-447




Friday, December 6, 2013

NFL 2013 Week 14 Predictions

Bills +3 over Bucs, 19-17
-Two bad teams with potential, so a FG seems right. That’s one road FG underdog I am taking this week….

Pats -11 over Browns, 30-16
-Who’s playing QB for the Browns? And at home too?

Lions +3.5 over Eagles, 27-24
-I truly believe the Lions are better. And odds are sooner or later Foles throws that first pick (that isn’t called back on a stupid penalty). This is the second time I am taking a FG underdog on the road.

Colts +6.5 over Bengals, 20-22
-Just too many points for an Andrew Luck team.

Chiefs -3 over Ethnic Slurs, 21-17
-As Bill Simmons pointed out in his Cousin Sal podcast, the Chiefs’ winning this week means that they clinch the 5 seed and can rest the remaining part of the regular season. Weird.

Dolphins +3.5 over Steelers, 21-20
-Third time here I am taking the FG over a home team, but in close games what choice do I have?

Ravens -7 over Vikings, 20-12
-Vikings should be ashamed of themselves, going 1-0-1 the last few weeks. They will start to lose soon, as they should.
-Strategic Eliminator Pick

Raiders +3 over Jets, 17-3
-Make that four times….

Broncos -11.5 over Titans, 31-14
-Don’t like it, but I am taking the layup.
-Best Eliminator Pick

Giants +3 over Chargers, 27-26
-Make that five times….

Seahawks +2.5 over Niners, 16-13
-Make that six times…..Seattle is just better

Rams +6 over Cards, 13-17
-Reports of Palmer possibly not playing are making me nervous.


Record last week:
Straight Up: 10-2
By Spread: 7-5

Record this year:
Straight Up: 89-51
By Spread: 75-66

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 628-334
By Spread: 512-439