Tuesday, November 22, 2022

2022 NFL Week 12 Predictions

 2022 NFL Week 12 Predictions

 

Lions +9.5 over Bills, 24-31

-At some point the travel and weird schedule has to get to the Bills. They’re going to win this game, but the Lions can score and will do so enough to cover.

 

Cowboys -8 over Giants, 33-16

-In the words of Cousin Sal, the Giants are a fake team and it’s now starting to show.

 

Vikings -2.5 over Patriots, 24-20

-Just a team that can score versus a team that can’t. 

 

Broncos -2.5 over Panthers, 17-9

-Panthers are trying Sam Darnold this week…good luck.

 

Falcons +4 over Commanders, 23-26

-I like the Commanders to probably win and continue their streak, but for two teams that run the ball, this will probably stay close.

 

Dolphins -13 over Texans, 37-6

-The road to the first overall pick goes through Houston.

 

Bengals -1.5 over Titans, 27-23

-The titans win a lot of close games. I have a lot of respect for Vrabel. And the titans sacked Burrow 8 times earlier in 2022. However, the Bengals won that game and have an actual passing offense.

 

I am not picking Bears vs. Jets as we don’t know who the QBs will be.

 

Bucs -3.5 over Browns, 24-16

-Really, all of our goals have been for the Browns to be functionally knocked out before Deshaun comes back. We’re almost there. 

 

Ravens -3.5 over Jaguars, 17-10

-I don’t like this. If it gets to 4 or 4.5 I would probably grab the Jags. The Ravens did not instill confidence in me after last week, but I am going to bet on the talent and the track record. 

 

Chargers -4.5 over Cardinals, 31-23

-Really I just like the over on this game.

 

Seahawks -4 over Raiders, 30-24

-Coming off of a bye, Seattle should dismantle this immature Las Vegas team.

 

49ers -9 over Saints, 27-17

-We’re really starting to see what the 49ers can be on offense. They should dominate this game beginning to end.

 

Chiefs -14.5 over Rams, 31-10

-It sounds like a big number, but here’s the thing. The Chiefs aren’t going to score less than 27 and I don’t see how the Rams score more than 13. So there you are. 

 

Eagles -7 over Packers, 31-23

-Did you see those new black helmets??

 

Colts -2.5 over Steelers, 20-16

-It’s a free half point. That’s it.

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 10-3

By Spread: 8-5

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 95-58

By Spread: 79-75

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 1983-1095
By Spread: 1624-1458

Saturday, November 19, 2022

2022 NFL Week 11 Predictions

 2022 NFL Week 11 Predictions

 

Eagles -6.5 over Colts, 31-23

-That feels like a free half point. 

 

Saints -3 over Rams, 20-3

-Oh how the mighty have fallen. 

 

Falcons -3 over Bears, 17-13

-This is dangerous because the Bears have the most exciting player and probably the best player. But, the overall quality of the Falcons is probably better and they have a more realistic shot at a playoff spot for motivation purposes. 

 

Commanders -3 over Texans, 24-12

-I almost can’t believe this line is this small. At some point, you can’t ignore that this team has 5 wins. 

 

Patriots -3.5 over Jets, 24-20

-I wish I was able to grab this at 3, but that’s ok. I actually don’t even think this will be that close. 

 

Giants -3 over Lions, 17-11

-Little terrified at how many 3-point favorites I am taking this week, but here we are.

 

Ravens -13 over Panthers, 34-6

-The Ravens are getting into an easy part of their schedule and we’re going to look back at a cruising 11-4 team having missed a bunch of really easy wins along the way. 

 

Bills -8 over Browns, 31-22

-This sounds weird because I didn’t put the Bills in my top 6 locks of the week. Just a complete stay away because of Josh’s health, their general inconsistency, the storm, and the relocation to a neutral site where they will play twice in 5 days over a holiday. But strictly speaking, I can’t take Jacoby Brissett, even with 8 points, over Josh Allen.

 

Broncos -2.5 over Raiders, 17-13

-I think I like this pick the least of any pick I have made in any sport in 2022. But, it’s a free half point and the Raiders just aren’t good. 

 

Bengals -3.5 over Steelers, 27-16

-Even with the Chase injury, the Bengals are going to be able to score far more easily than the Steelers will.

 

Vikings +1.5 over Cowboys, 30-26

-I know the Vikings are a fake one-loss team. But to be the underdogs to this fake Cowboys team is insulting. 

 

Chargers +5.5 over Chiefs, 27-30

-Chiefs are more likely to win, but with the Chargers getting everyone back on offense I’m going to take the points.

 

49ers -8 over Cardinals, 27-16

-This is likely the result anyway, but the chance that Kyler Murray sits makes it even juicier.

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 6-6

By Spread: 6-6

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 85-55

By Spread: 71-70

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 1973-1092
By Spread: 1616-1453

Friday, November 11, 2022

2022 NFL Week 10 Predictions

 2022 NFL Week 10 Predictions 

Seahawks +3.5 over Bucs, 24-20

-There is a really good chance the Bucs win this game. But, getting the 3.5 in a weird travel game…I want the team that has been better and more consistent all year. 

 

Titans -2.5 over Broncos, 17-10

-This assumes Tannehill is back. But, the Broncos have not shown that you can have any faith in their ability to score dynamically at this point. 

 

Dolphins -3.5 over Browns, 31-22

-I get that the Browns get a bump because they’re very tough and have good lines, but they can’t score with Miami. 

 

Saints -1.5 over Steelers, 20-16

-Legit, the Saints haven’t been good. But at least they have competently moved the ball each week. That’s more than we can say for Pittsburgh. 

 

Bears -2.5 over Lions, 29-26

-You want to know where we are at with the Bears right now? I’m in the last week of a Guillotine league and out of multiple choices, I am playing Fields at QB. 

 

Vikings +3.5 over Bills, 24-23

-Obviously this has everything to do with Josh Allen’s health. Regardless of that, the Bills have let too many teams hang around and the Vikings are 7-1. 3.5 is too many. 

 

Giants -4.5 over Texans, 22-10

-This should be a HUGE Saquon week. 

 

Jaguars +10.5 over Chiefs, 24-27

-Just too many points for the team that leads the NFL in 1st downs (yes, you read that right. Jacksonville has the most 1st downs in football).

 

Raiders -4.5 over Colts, 24-3

-The Raiders may fire their coach soon, just cut their 1st round pick from last year, put Renfrow and Waller on IR, and I’m pretty sure I’m using them as my eliminator pick this week. 

 

Cowboys -4 over Packers, 27-20

-If you had told me after Week 1 that the Cowboys giving 4 in Lambeau was an easy pick, I would’ve called you insane. But here we are. 

 

I’m not picking Cards vs. Rams because we might have 0, 1, or 2 of the normal starting QBs involved. 

 

Chargers +7 over 49ers, 23-27

-That’s just a lot of points to give Herbert. 49ers are tougher and more well-rested, but 7 is a lot. It’s just too many. 

 

Eagles -11 over Commanders, 37-17 

-This could get ugly.

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 10-2

By Spread: 9-3

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 79-49

By Spread: 65-64

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 1967-1086
By Spread: 1610-1447

Saturday, November 5, 2022

2022 NFL Week 9 Predictions

 2022 NFL Week 9 Predictions 

Vikings -3 over Commanders, 29-24

-I actually don't;’t think it will be this close. I did do a double take when I saw the Commanders have 4 wins. But, I mean….this is Kirk Cousins at 1pm. 

 

Bengals -7.5 over Panthers, 27-10

-The results of last week would say to be careful on this game with the Panthers playing a close match. However, the Bengals need this, are at home, and are a far more quality team.

 

Bills -11.5 over Jets, 31-10

-Only the Jets could do this to themselves. It’s not that they’re going to go 5-12: everyone expected them to go 5-12. It’s that they’re going to 5-2 and then lose 10 in a row to end the season. They bring up the hopes only to crush them that more thoroughly. 

 

Pats -5.5 over Colts, 20-6

-No idea why this was in the Vegas zone. Pats should easily beat the young and inexperienced QB. 

 

Jags +2.5 over Raiders, 22-16

-I’m taking the 2.5 at home, because the Raiders shouldn't be favored versus Texas Southern right now. 

 

Dolphins -4.5 over Bears, 31-20

-It’s been a nice story, Bears. It ends here. 

 

Packers -3.5 over Lions, 24-20

-I guess. Fairly low confidence on this one. 

Chargers -3 over Falcons, 24-17

-This would be a more high confidence pick, but Herbert’s basically throwing to a couple of walk-ons from CalTech right now. I mean, that’s still going to be enough…but not by a big number. 

 

Seahawks +2 over Cardinals, 28-27

-I want to pick the Cardinals. They are probably a better team, at home, and their uniforms are very pretty. But I’m not going to disrespect what the Seahawks have done this year by doing that. 

 

Bucs -3 over Rams, 20-16

-I want it on record that I don’t like ANY of this. I don’t like the broken-down QBs playing each other. I certainly don’t like that this is the only 4:25 game. It’s 2022, people, we’re all watching RedZone! There can’t only be 2 games in the 4pm block! And the joke’s on you Fox, the Cardinals v Seahawks game is the better one!

 

Titans +13 over Chiefs, 17-27

-I’ve wanted to do this all week and I didn’t know if I was going to be brave enough to. Don’t get me wrong, the Chiefs are going to win. But Derrick Henry is going to slow the game down and produce enough to keep them within range and the 13 point halo.  

 

Ravens -1 over Saints, 27-23

-Scared to death of the Ravens because I’m honestly not sure who is playing WR or TE for them. But it’s Lamar, in prime time, versus Andy Dalton. That’s kind of it. 

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 9-5

By Spread: 7-7

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 69-47

By Spread: 56-61

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 1957-1084
By Spread: 1601-1444