2019 NFL Week 13 Predictions

Week 13 Predictions

On vacation this week, so these are going to be quick.

Bears -4.5 over Lions, 20-16

-Does this have to be a game? It’s just so sad.

Cowboys -7 over Bills, 29-16

-Can’t imagine the Bills are going to be able to score with them very well.

Saints -6.5 over Falcons, 37-24

-Despite the nice run from the Falcons, the Saints are going to run through this.

Packers -6.5 over Giants, 30-20

-Giants will start the end of season wilt now but make it look closer in garbage time.

Panthers -9.5 over Washington, 20-7

-Good opportunity for an easy win by the Panthers here.

Ravens -5.5 over 49ers, 24-17

-Can’t believe these are same team from the Superbowl 6 years ago. Totally different feel.

Titans +3.5 over Colts, 20-19

-Colts might be finally feeling the affects of all the injuries and the wear of the season.

Eagles -9.5 over Fins, 24-10

-I wish I wasn’t going to, but I’ll be taking the Eagles a lot from here on out. The schedule friends, the schedule.

Raiders +10.5 over Chiefs, 28-24

-Just a feeling. Raiders going to keep it close and run the ball a lot. Chiefs will be coming off a bye, but their issue really isn’t health as much as consistency and time of possession.

Jags -1.5 over Bucs, 27-20

-Love betting against Jameis as usual.

Jets -3 over Bengals, 20-6

-Jets will be dumb enough to try to win this game.

Rams -3 over Cards, 33-23

-Time for the Rams to win the games they should and the Cards to fade back.

Chargers pk over Broncos, 22-16

-While the Chargers may be functionally out of it, this is a case of the Broncos being very done and the Chargers still having a lot of talent.

Pats -3 over Texans, 24-13

-Texans have more rest to be sure, but I love this matchup for their defense. Perhaps this is where the Pats offense, especially rushing, gets on track.

Seahawks -3 over Vikings, 27-23

-Both teams have been impressive, but the Vikings are so inconsistent. I am staying with Russell.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 7-5

By Spread: 6-6

Record this year:

Straight Up: 95-61

By Spread: 75-79

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1496-822
By Spread: 1231-1098

2019 NFL Week 12 Predictions

Week 12 Predictions

Raiders -3 over Jets, 23-10

-The Raiders are seemingly a professional team, and the Jets are a shade below that. We are at the point of the season in which the teams who can make the playoffs win over those who cannot even if the talent isn’t crazy different.

Lions -3.5 over Ethnic Slurs, 20-10

-Lions are not good. But they try and there is talent in some places. Washington…yikes. Even with Driskel, the Lions got this.

Seahawks +1 over Eagles, 30-20

-How is this only 1? Seattle is rested, Eagles are declining. So confused. Gotta get Russell & Hustle going early. The Eagles have the Cowboys and a plum schedule after this, and might be looking ahead.

Falcons -4 over Bucs, 23-16

-It seems the Falcons are rising and the Bucs will throw them at least two picks. Atlanta’s coaching staff is somehow going to keep their jobs.

Saints -9.5 over Panthers, 30-20

-Panthers might be done. Saints are locking in.

Browns -10.5 over Fins, 26-13

-Pains me to confidently lay 10.5 with this Browns’ team. However, the Fins are done now.

Giants +6 over Bears, 17-16

-Giants can score enough to cover this game, Bears shouldn’t be trusted to lay almost a touchdown to anyone right now.

Bills -4 over Broncos, 20-13

-Bills keep getting these nice games. Might be a really random 11-win team at the end of the year.

Titans -3.5 over Jags, 20-16

-Jags season might be wilting. Titans are rested and ready to go.

Pats -6.5 over Cowboys, 30-22

-I’m a little nervous about the Pats’ ability to score enough points to cover this, but I think the defense is ready for this test. Cowboys have to play in prime time on the road outdoors in the cold (relatively).

Packers +3 over 49ers, 24-23

-Not to be a complete Pats’ homer, but I love how things work out for them. The NFC elite is going to kick the crap out of each other over the next three weeks. The 49ers might have the worst of it, because these teams are good, and the 49ers are a bit beaten up at the skill positions right now.

Ravens -3 over Rams, 27-23

-Can’t bet against the Ravens right now, but it’s a low confidence bet. Ravens have to travel all the way west, night time, versus a still very talented defense.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 11-2

By Spread: 8-4

Record this year:

Straight Up: 88-56

By Spread: 69-73

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1489-817
By Spread: 1225-1092

2019 NFL Week 11 Predictions

Week 11 Predictions

Browns -3 over Steelers, 20-16

-Should be low scoring, maybe a bit boring, but an equalizing game between an underachieving Browns team and an overachieving Steelers team.

Cowboys -5 over Lions, 30-17

-Considering Vegas stuck this line right in the middle, they are unsure as I am whether the Cowboys are really a good team that can knock off a hurt and limping Lions team. Unfortunately, that is the likely outcome so it is what I will have to choose. Reluctantly.

Jags +2.5 over Colts, 24-20

-If this goes to 3, jump all over that. Confusing. Colts, even if Jacoby is back, are limping into this matchup.

Bills -6.5 over Fins, 20-13

-Um Miami, you know your goal was to not win, correct? Bills need a win here so likely things return to how they were the first 8 games of the season for each team.

Vikings -10 over Broncos, 23-6

-I honestly forgot the Broncos were a team during their bye week. It might be the least interesting team even if it isn’t the least talented. I also couldn’t identify Brandon Allen if you threatened me and gave me a lineup. Am I starting him this week in a league? Darn right.

Saints -5.5 over Bucs, 30-24

-I have no idea what happened last week with the Saints. It won’t happen again though, you have to imagine the Saints come roaring back here. I am excited to see Michael Thomas’s stat line, let me tell you.

I will not pick the Jets-Wash game. No.

Panthers -4.5 over Falcons, 24-17

-That was the big get up game for the Falcons last week, and the Panthers are still in the hunt so secure a big win.

Ravens -4 over Texans, 31-25

-Honestly, this is close and a good game. The Texans will be rested and prepped, and their QB gives a bit more of a reasonable Lamar-facimile to practice against than most teams get. However, the Ravens are home, rolling, and the Texans defense is limping a little. Low confidence, but I have the Ravens.

Niners -10 over Cards, 27-16

-Cards absolutely gave them a good game a few weeks ago. But that was an odd Thursday night, the Niners are coming off a loss for the first time, and it is in SF. I almost wrote Candlestick. I’ll never be over it.

Raiders -10.5 over Bengals, 23-10

-That’s a huge number for a team like the Raiders to cover, but hopefully that means a big game for Waller and Jacobs.

NE -3.5 over Eagles, 27-20

-Feels like a 17-3 first half by NE and then the Eagles come back a bit. Hopefully the Pats took the off week to rest and refocus a little, and get the WRs all up to speed. I want to see NKH. And, you know, a functional offensive line.

Rams -6 over Bears, 24-13

-I hate the Bears, but if the Rams don’t do it this week, they are on my bad list. On a funny note, Todd Gurley has been owned by 4 teams in one of my leagues and I find that hilarious. Just attractive enough to get, and then, “oh yeah, this is going to be a headache”. And yes, I was one of those teams.

Chiefs -3.5 over Chargers, 34-30

-I have to imagine that the Chiefs right the ship and win a shootout versus their division rivals. Especially when there will likely be more Chiefs fans there than Chargers fans.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 3-8

By Spread: 6-5

Record this year:

Straight Up: 77-54

By Spread: 61-69

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1478-815
By Spread: 1217-1088

2019 NFL Week 10 Predictions

Week 10 Predictions

Lions +6.5 over Bears, 24-13

-I don’t trust Trubisky. And I won’t bet him. Lions are better than their record, and it shows up today with an actual win.

Ravens -10.5 over Bengals, 30-6

-The only question is how long Ingram or Lamar plays, and if I should sub someone else in for fantasy purposes.

Bills +3 over Browns, 20-18

-No idea what to make of the Bills’ ceiling. But I’m sure of the Browns’ floor.

Chiefs -6.5 over Titans, 34-17

-Banged up Mahomes or overschemed Matt Moore, it won’t matter. Titans just can’t match the Chiefs on offense in their current set up.

Saints -13.5 over Falcons, 37-20

-Big line, and overall I just like the total over on points for this game. Low confidence on laying that many points, so I won't. 

Giants -3 over Jets, 24-14

-One of these teams is discernably in a better direction. That’s kind of stunning.

Cards +4.5 over Bucs, 30-26

-Cards should be able to pass all over the Bucs. I just don’t trust Jameis to cover even a small line. Big fantasy numbers in this one.

Fins +11 over Colts, 17-19

-Fins got their one win, and are playing much better. Likely too close to lay so many points. 

Packers -5 over Panthers, 31-24

-I actually have a lot of respect for what the Panthers have been doing, especially CMC, but the Packers are going to come roaring back this week from how badly they started in week 9.

Rams -3.5 over Steelers, 30-16

-Rams are well rested, and other than Cooks will be ready to go. Steelers are playing well above their level, and it comes crashing down here.

Cowboys -3 over Vikings, 27-22

-The Kirk Cousins fervor is fading a little, and without Thielen its harder to trust him. The Cowboys still scare me, but at home and with stronger health and momentum its hard to pick against them here.

Seahawks +6.5 over 49ers, 24-23

-Tough, close game, but I’ll take the far more established passer and 6.5 points. Great game to watch.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 6-6

By Spread: 5-7

Record this year:

Straight Up: 74-46

By Spread: 55-64

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1475-807
By Spread: 1211-1083