NFL 2014 Week 4 Predictions

Week 4 Predictions

Panthers +3.5 over Ravens, 24-23

-Steve Smith Revenge Game aside, the Panthers are a good enough team that 3.5 is just an auto selection.  

Packers -2 over Bears, 31-27

-Forte has a much better day than his season to date, but the Packers are R-E-L-A-X-E-D and will get on track. Jordy may have to have 300 yards to do so, but I’d take that.

Bills +3 over Texans, 21-20

-I don’t like either team, but I really don’t like Ryan Fitzpatrick. We see Mallett at some point this season, right?

Colts -7.5 over Titans, 27-16

-Week 1 seems to be a sham. The Titans are not good and the Colts are rounding into shape quickly.

Lions -2 over Jets, 34-15

-I don’t get it. The Jets are not good. The Lions are decent. No one can cover Megatron here. I see a romp.

Fins -3.5 over Raiders, 20-13

-Loser leaves town, coach-wise?

Steelers -7.5 over Bucs, 27-12

-Mike Glennon, I’m pulling for you.

Chargers -13 over Jags, 31-14

-Lock of the week for the Eliminator community, and Rivers should have a monster day.

Falcons -3 over Viks, 30-13

-3 points? Am I missing something?

Eagles +5 over 49ers, 24-23

-I don’t think the 49ers are good, and believe the Eagles are at least somewhat good. Chip Kelly +5 points seems like it is going to work out most weeks.

Saints -3 over Cowboys, 37-27

-It’s coming some week, and the Saints explosion might as well be this one. They own the Cowboys since Brees came to NOLA

Pats -3 over Chiefs, 24-20

-This is a really tough game to properly predict. However,  the Pats don’t typically lose prime time games, and I believe they have a line on the many Chiefs weaknesses to exploit. Brady gets the offense tooled into a better gear and they find a way to win this game.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 11-4

By Spread: 9-6

Record this year:

Straight Up: 25-15

By Spread: 19-21

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 689-370
By Spread: 557-491

NFL 2014 Week 3 Predictions

Week 3 Predictions

Falcons -6.5 over Bucs, 30-17

-Even with Roddy out, this should be an easy win.

Chargers +2.5 over Bills, 27-19

-I neither fully understand nor believe in the Bills so far. I’ll take Rivers over Manuel.

Ravens -1.5 over Browns, 20-17

-Browns have worked really hard so far, but they don’t have enough here. Ravens might be a solid little team. That close loss to the Bengals looks much better in retrospect because the Bengals may be awesome.

Bengals -7 over Titans, 23-14

-Titans’ offense looked like a mess last week. The Bengals might be the best team in the league in the trenches.

Packers +2.5 over Lions, 37-34

-I have a rule. If the Packers are decent, have Aaron Rodgers, and they are getting points, you take it.

Colts -7 over Jags, 27-13

-Luck isn’t going 0-3, and he really isn’t going 0-3 versus the Jags.

Pats -14 over Raiders, 37-20

-Love Derek Carr, but I’m not stupid. This is probably another good game for special teams/defense/intangibles for the Pats. I like this team. It reminds me of the 2003-2004 Pats’ teams, with a well rounded roster.

Saints -10 over Vikings, 40-16

-I’m legitimately excited. Saints are going to EXPLODE.

Texans -2 over Giants, 19-16

-Not a vote of confidence in the Texans. I just dislike the Giants this much.

Eagles -6.5 over Ethnic Slurs, 30-20

-I like you Kirk, but not this much. The Eagles’ offense is too good.

Cards +3 over 49ers, 20-18

-I mean, maybe? I don’t trust Kaep and continue to love the Cards for some reason.

Fins -4 over Chiefs, 24-17

-Chiefs weren’t that good and are now hurt. Tannehill plays really well here.

Panthers -3 over Steelers, 20-10

-I still don’t believe in the Panthers and won’t even after they stomp all over Pittsburgh.

Seahawks -5 over Broncos, 31-13

-This happened recently, right? It worked out for me then. The Broncos had a decent chance at this….but then the Seahawks lost last week. It is in Seattle, and the Broncos look human so far.

Bears +3.5 over Jets, 20-19

-I am not convinced the Jets should be giving points to anyone right now. Cutler should light them up.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 7-6

By Spread: 3-10

Record this year:

Straight Up: 14-11

By Spread: 10-15

Record last year:
Straight Up: 125-72
By Spread: 101-97

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 678-366
By Spread: 548-485

NFL 2014 Week 2 Predictions

Week 2 Predictions

Lions +3 over Panthers, 23-19

-Derek Anderson was smoke and mirrors, and the Lions are good enough to at least get this close. I still don’t trust the Panthers to be able score at a level to keep up in this one.

Fins -1 over Bills, 21-17

-I wouldn’t put much stock in this one because the energy should be good at home with all their good news. But it is EJ Manuel against my boy Tannehill, and we know how I am picking that.

Jags +5 over Ethnic Slurs, 16-17

-Ugh, what a *fantastic* game to watch. The Jags are feisty and at one point RG3 was averaging 4 yards a pass last week. I’ll give the points a go.

Titans -3.5 over Cowboys, 27-17

-The Cowboys actively do not want to win.

Cards -3 over Giants, 21-14

-The Giants are bad. The Cards are scrappy. And Fitz will have more than 22 yards.

Saints -7 over Browns, 34-13

-Saints aren’t losing two in a row and the Browns used up all their tricks last week. We also know the Steelers aren’t that good now, so the Saints are a strong play.

Pats -3 over the Viks, 27-10

-With no Peterson, this should be a walk.

Falcons +5 over Bengals, 28-31

-With no Geno, I am taking the points in a shootout

Seahawks -6 over Chargers, 31-17

-10 days rest? Same time zone? Yes please.

Raiders +4.5 over Texans, 20-21

-I’ll take my boy Derek Carr at home as a dog versus Ryan Fitzpatrick on the road.

Packers -8 over Jets, 35-9

-This is delicious. Even better than Seahawks/Chargers. No way Packers go 0-2.

Chiefs +13 over Broncos, 24-33

-Wow crazy crazy. That’s a lot of points. I mean, the Broncos are going to win, but….13 points!

Colts -3 over the Eagles, 28-24

-No way Andrew Luck is going 0-2. The Eagles can’t start slow again and expect to win. I think we also see a lot of Ahmad Bradshaw over Trent Richardson, which is good for the offense and team.

I am not touching the Rams/Bucs game because I think both teams are terrible. And Bears/49ers depends if those receivers play or not.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 7-5

By Spread: 7-5

Record this year:

Straight Up: 7-5

By Spread: 7-5

Record last year:
Straight Up: 125-72
By Spread: 101-97

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 671-360
By Spread: 545-475

NFL 2014 Week 1 Predictions

Week 1 Predictions

Saints -3 over Falcons

-I think the Falcons rebound and have a good season, but the Saints are my Super Bowl pick and I think they put up some numbers in this one.

Vikings +3.5 over Rams

-I don’t know what Shaun Hill is going to do. I know what Peterson is going to do. I like getting 3.5 points in close defensive games. Questions?

Steelers -7 over Browns

-Death, taxes, and Steelers beating the Browns. 25-5 over the last 15 years or so.

Eagles -10.5 over Jags

-I feel weird about this pick. The Eagles are going to win, but if the Jags have a sneaky good 6-10 season with some close losses, I wouldn’t be surprised. I like Gus Bradley. This might be a strong tease candidate.

Raiders +5.5 over Jets

-I believe in Derek Carr. I can’t fully explain why, but I really do. And with this Jets secondary being so horrid, I think he can really get his career off to a good start.

                                                                                   

Bengals +1 over Ravens

-This should be close, but the Bengals might have the lines in the AFC on both sides and should dominate this game. I am not sure the Ravens could run anyways, but especially not here.

Bears -7 over Bills

-Marrone fighting with refs on the daily? Bears romp this. Byrd is in NO now, and that hurts the Bills trying to cover the Bears’ receivers deep.

Texans -3 over Ethnic Slurs

-Washington may be a mess, and the Texans are way undervalued right now. I believe in Bill O’Brien.

Chiefs -3 over Titans

-Probably will be a rough game, but I don’t trust Locker.

Pats -5 over Dolphins

-I love Tannehill but not in these games. Pats roll right through. The new look Pats defense will be fascinating to watch.

Colts +8 over Broncos

-Broncos are adjusting on defense, have lost a lot on offense, and this is a good spot for the Colts, who beat Manning last year, to at least cover. In Luck I trust.

Lions -6 over Giants

-There is no way to properly measure how bad I think the Giants are going to be.

The other games are stay aways: Panthers are a mess, the 49ers are a mess, and Arizona-Chargers should be an awesome and close game.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 1-0

By Spread: 1-0

Record last year:
Straight Up: 125-72
By Spread: 101-97

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 664-355
By Spread: 538-470

2014 NFL Season Preview

2014 NFL Playoff Predictions and Awards

AFC East – Patriots

-Boring I know, but this team is loaded, only the Dolphins are really threatening, and the schedule seemingly has broken nicely for the Pats. 12-13 wins easy, and the top seed in the AFC.

AFC North – Bengals

-Dominant lines, explosive playmakers, and troublesome issues for each of the division mates.

AFC South – Colts

-Luck. Locker. Fitzpatrick. Bortles. Let’s move along.

AFC West – Broncos

-Boring like the Pats, but makes the most sense. 11 wins easy. The West will better than people think so.

Wild Cards: Dolphins and Chargers

-Tannehill takes a step forward, and the Chargers remain offensively efficient while improving the pass defense.

AFC Championship – Patriots over Colts

NFC East – Eagles

-The Eagles are the most complete team. The Giants have little talent, the Ethnic Slurs have a bad defense, and the Cowboys are the Cowboys and destined to be 8-8.

NFC North – Packers

-This is a loaded division; the Packers still have Aaron Rodgers. They dominate the divisional matchups and maximize their most balanced offense in years.

NFC South – Saints

-I love this Saints team. They have a much better defense than they have had in past years, and Cooks evens out the offense. They get 13 wins and the top overall seed.

NFC West – Seahawks

-Tough break for the 49ers again, but Seattle gets

Wild Cards: Lions and Bears

-Both good teams, both would win just about any other division but are stuck with the Packers.

NFC Championship – Saints over Packers

-Quite a shootout, but the Saints have more balance and home field matters here.

Superbowl: Saints over Patriots

-I want to pick the Pats because of their improvements on defense, but the Saints have the look to me.

Awards

MVP: Aaron Rodgers

-He is the best player, and will have the best statistical season efficiency wise. Manning will regress, and Brees/Brady have their most talented defenses in years so won’t press as much.

OPY: Drew Brees

-6000 yards and 60 Touchdowns is in play. You heard me.

DPY: Luke Kuechly

-He is a machine.

ORY: Brandin Cook

-He is going to have a crazy weird statline. I think 60 catches for 1150 yards and 10 TDs is in play.

DRY: Jadeveon Clowney

-What a monster. And he is getting single teamed because of Watt!

COY: Sean Payton

-General Saints dominance.