Saturday, October 27, 2018

NFL 2018 Week 8 Predictions


Week 8 Predictions
Eagles -3 over Jags, 24-18
-Didn’t think we’d be here with these two teams but...loser goes home? It’d be blinking red light time at least. For this scenario I’ll take Wentz over Bortles thank you.

Ravens -2.5 over Panthers, 20-16
-I trust the Ravens to win tough games. Also, the Panthers explosion in the 4th Q last week masked an overall not great performance where again their defense seemed old and overrated.

Bears -8 over Jets, 26-13
-Jets are starting to diminish while Bears should take care of business. It’d be nice if Khalil Mack got healthy though.

Bengals -3.5 over Bucs, 33-26
-Bengals are still very much in the hunt while the Bucs aren’t if we are being serious. Bengals D-Line makes a mess of the Bucs O-Line in this contest.

Lions -3 over Seahawks, 27-20
-Lions are getting things right, Seahawks are going the other way. C’mon Stafford, I need production on Matt Ryan’s bye week.

Chiefs -9.5 over Broncos, 37-24
-Broncos need to be selling parts off. Chiefs will continue to roll here.

Washington -1 over Giants, 20-17
-Giants are staying around, but not an exceptionally exciting or well schemed team.

Steelers -7.5 over Browns, 28-20
-I want to take the points and Browns, but I feel like the feel-good run is over and the Browns are going to settle back to like 3-12-1. Steelers are rested off the bye and ready to probably make a run through the second half of the season.

Colts -3 over Raiders, 26-17
-Colts are just a much better team. Raiders are dissolving. Luck’s season stats are starting to look insane.

49ers -1.5 over Cards, 16-13
-Both teams are really bad. One is injured to hell but trying and operating with good schemes, the other is healthy but just look super basic in scheme.

Packers +8.5 over Rams, 30-34
-I have a lot of respect for the Rams. But 8.5 to Aaron Rodgers’? Yeah, I don’t think so. Rams have too many issues in the secondary for that.

Saints -1 over Vikings, 30-27
-Every week the Saints put more of the team together. Vikings winning here would be big for reestablishing some trust. Big games for all the WRs involved though.

Pats -14 over Bills, 30-13
-Pats are going to annihilate this team. I would sit Gronk, no need. Bills couldn’t score on air. I don’t know how to measure this, but I’m pretty sure Allen-Pederman-Anderson is the worst QB situation I’ve ever seen. And I saw Cleveland over the last 6 years and Arizona 2011-2013.


Record last week:
Straight Up: 11-3
By Spread: 8-6

Record in 2018:
Straight Up: 56-39
By Spread: 45-48

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1318-723
By Spread: 1082-961

Saturday, October 20, 2018

NFL 2018 Week 7 Predictions


Week 7 Predictions
How’s this season going? Well let me tell you. In my most important league, I’m starting Brock Osweiler and Baker Mayfield, and feel good about it. My dynasty rock stars are Dalvin Cook and Fournette, and my family league I’m 1-5. I have Julio Jones in 3 leagues and that is a total of 0x3 touchdowns. Looking forward to the 2019 season everyone!

Broncos -3 over Cards
-I had this as a blowout. Not only did I pick it correctly, I picked it correctly over a week earlier by telling a friend “I will not watch one minute of this terrible game”. I did not. I Pokemon Go’d for 2 hours instead. I feel correct in my life choices.

Chargers -6.5 over Titans, 27-19
-Early game I might get up for. Because I’m still invested in Marcus Mariota. Because I hate myself as a person. Only 6 weeks left in the fantasy season? Thank goodness.

Eagles -5 over Panthers, 24-16
-I need to adjust my read on the Panthers because I thought they were good. Eagles are ascending as Wentz gets comfortable. So for now, I’ll gently take the Eagles. Don’t bet this game.

Browns +3.5 over Bucs, 20-23
-I’m staying on the Browns to hold this at a close game. C’mon Jameis, you know you want to throw some picks. This leans toward “loser is functionally done” so it should be relatively high-quality football. In week 7. Between the Browns and Bucs. I know nothing.

Lions -3 over Fins, 30-23
-Lions will be prepared and Fins are on the edge with the Tannehill injury. You got this Brock. I believe in you. Wait, no I don’t. Brock, I need 250-3-3. That’s fine. Stafford goes back to flinging the ball everywhere to slightly above average results here.

Vikings -3.5 over Jets, 30-26
-The Adam Thielen 140 catch, 1800 yard, 12 TD season (that’s in range people, don’t laugh) tour continues. Jets have been a nice story and Darnold is a good play, but Vikings are setting up for a strong end run.

Pats -2 over Bears, 27-20
-I’m assuming this line moved because Gronk has been announced as being out. Still, Pats giving less than 3 is a rarity. They should take care of business by making Truthbisky read more than one receiver/one side of the field.

Colts -7 over Bills,
-Colts are good, but no one is nearly as bad as the Bills. Yes, that includes the Cards because their QB at least shows promise, the Bills don’t have one. It’d be nice to have AJ McCarron now, wouldn’t it Bills? Can’t believe I typed that sentence in complete seriousness.

Jags -4 over Texans, 27-22
-If the Jags don’t get right here, it might be time to hit the panic button. Texans might be their QB killed here. I am starting Hopkins: you have to. But don’t be surprised if this is a down game, and in general, this game goes fast and medium scoring if that.

Rams -9 over 49ers, 30-16
-That loss vs. Green Bay will be tough for the 49ers since they played so well and pulled off all the stops. The Rams have been winning close versus winning big because of their issues at corner and lack of pass rush. This is likely the week the winning margin expands again.

Saints +2.5 over Ravens, 27-23
-I think the Saints are a top 5 team, so getting points with them will be a great choice every time. Ravens just won’t be able to score with New Orleans.

Cowboys -1.5 over Wash, 17-13
-I hate even picking a winner, the Cowboys are kind of hot and Washington is clearly in a downturn. Ugh, I will watch less than 1 minute of this game.

Bengals +6 over Chiefs, 31-33
-I still think the Chiefs are better and likely the best team in the AFC, but the Bengals are coming off a tough loss and should hang around close enough. Take the over regardless of your feelings on the spread, should be points aplenty. Dalton continues to be my MVP. And that tells you how the season is going for me.

Falcons -4 over Giants, 33-20
-I know the Falcons aren’t good, but the Giants are dead and the Falcons with a win are still alive. Julio will not catch a touchdown. I might catch a touchdown before Julio does. Is 110 catches for 1750 yards and 0 TDs in play? I almost want to see that.


Record last week:
Straight Up: 8-6
By Spread: 7-7

Record in 2018:
Straight Up: 45-36
By Spread: 37-42

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1307-720
By Spread: 1074-955


Saturday, October 13, 2018

NFL 2018 Week 6 Predictions


Week 6 Predictions
Eagles -7 over Giants
-I had this. In fact, you can book it for me betting against the G-Men for the rest of the year. Unless they are playing against kicking nets, stanchions, or other inanimate objects. They do well against those.

Falcons -3 over Bucs, 31-17
-The scary thing is….I’m not sure how many other wins the Falcons have on their schedule. But this is one. Bucs could try Ronald Jones out, or, you know, play defense.

Bengals -1.5 over Steelers, 34-26
-Steelers may be rounding into form, combating my “they may not be very good” ideology. But the Bengals have been good all the way through, so I’m not changing my stance now. Also enjoying my last clean and clear “just start Connor and forget” before the Bell fiasco that is about to happen.

Chargers +1 over Browns, 27-26
-I like the Browns a lot. That was an honest, not sarcastic statement. However, the Chargers are still a good, veteran, talented team that can take advantage of a young team that is probably just very excited to be relevant right now.

Bears -4 over Fins, 26-16
-Fins aren’t real, the Bears are strongly competent. Some more Jordan Howard would be good though. Less Ryan Tannehill always strongly advised.

Vikings -10 over Cards, 27-6
-Oof Josh Rosen. Vikings are going to get right here. Cards are in a rough spot. I feel sorry for Fitz. At least Rosen looks good for the future?

Colts +3 over Jets, 27-26
-Just taking the points. Colts are feisty, had more rest, and will be healthier than they were against the Pats.

Seahawks -2.5 over Raiders, 24-20
-I have no read on Seattle. None. It confuses me so much. But I think the Raiders are just not good. Taking Carroll over Gruden, for less than a FG line.

Panthers -1 over Washington professional football team, 30-17
-How is this 1 point? What are we doing here? I don’t like the Panthers, never have, but have to admit they are doing is far more impressive that 75% of the league. I’ll take this free money.

Rams -7 over Broncos, 34-16
-This is assuming both concussed small WRs are able to play for LA. Actually, never mind, it doesn’t matter. Also, FREE ROYCE.

Jags -3 over Cowboys, 20-13
-Cowboys are too hurt and still not dynamic enough. Jags get right off a tough matchup with KC last week. The Clapper survives another week somehow.

Ravens -2.5 over Titans, 23-19
-Very similar teams. Tough AFC teams with veteran rosters and an inability to put away teams they should and really open it up on offense. But the Ravens have been more consistent on offense and a more experienced coach.

Chiefs +3.5 over Pats, 37-33
-Um, this has a “Pats play vanilla don’t get anyone hurt and don’t show anything game. Plus, you know, the Lions shredded us with Golden Tate and Colts did with Eric Ebron. There are men named Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce involved here. Pats would get them in the playoffs though…
OVER on points.

Packers -9.5 over Niners, 27-13
-I feel so bad for the Niners. Maybe though this is a good thing. They were going to go 9-7 or something and get waxed in the wild card round. Now, they go 2-14 and get another high pick. You know what isn’t a good thing? Rodgers’ torn ACL that they don’t want to admit is a torn ACL. They will be good enough here, but I am worried about them long term.


Record last week:
Straight Up: 6-6
By Spread: 4-8

Record in 2018:
Straight Up: 37-30
By Spread: 30-35

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1299-714
By Spread: 1067-948

Saturday, October 6, 2018

NFL 2018 Week 5 Predictions


Week 5 Predictions
Pats -10 over Colts, 34-23
-My father, who laid 13.5 points to for this matchup, can attest I did in fact have this game. I had the over too.

Titans -5.5 over Bills, 20-6
-Weird line. Says Vegas knows the Bills suck, but don’t know if the Titans are good or consistent enough on offense to just lay into the Bills by a TD+ like a good team should.

Panthers -6.5 over Giants, 30-6
-Panthers are rested and prepped, Giants are reeling. This might be bad.

Bengals -6 over Fins, 27-20
-I am going to roll with my Bengals, especially now that the Fins came down to earth last week. Keep doubting Cincy everyone.

Ravens -3 over Browns, 23-17
-Ugh, Cleveland losing that game last week was a huge swing for me. I still believe the defense is legit and Baker is going to be good, but this is a “take care of business” game for Baltimore, and they will.

Packers pk over Lions, 27-23
-If Aaron Jones doesn’t get 15 carries I don’t really understand what is going on. Rodgers’ health worries me, but I will stay with my Super Bowl pick that is quietly assembling a good defense campaign while everyone so closely is looking at the offense (understandably so).

Jags +3 over Chiefs, 26-24
-It’s not KC-O versus JAG-D I am looking at. It’s the inverse. The KC Defense is so bad I can’t in good conscious lay 3 against still a very good AFC team. This is a great game though, and the rare AFC Title game preview possibility that doesn’t involve NE or PIT.

Broncos -1 over Jets, 24-17
-What am I missing here? Broncos are clearly better. They almost beat KC, and are laying 1 to the Jets?

Falcons +3 over Steelers, 40-36
-70 points in play? 80? Wow is this going to be showcase for offense. Julio still won’t score though. That’s not allowed.

Chargers -5.5 over Raiders, 27-19
-What is this, two points off what the line should be because they figure LA will miss a few kicks?

Viks/Eagles, I have no idea. I guess I’d take the points, but just stay away.

Cards/Niners, see above.

Cowboys/Houston, see above again. At least I won’t have a conflict for TWD.

Rams -7.5 over Seahawks, 37-16
-Seattle is not good. And now they are injured. Grab this before people wake up and it goes to 10.

Saints -6 over Washington, 30-22
-Washington is probably the team I have the least feel on. I have a bias because I hate their name with a fiery passion, they have only played 3 games to other teams’ 4-5, and they played inconsistently in those games. However, I know this is in New Orleans, Brees needs only like 200 yards for the all-time record, and they get Ingram back.

Record last week:
Straight Up: 8-6
By Spread: 7-4

Record in 2018:
Straight Up: 31-24
By Spread: 26-27

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1293-708
By Spread: 1063-940