Saturday, December 26, 2020

NFL 2020 Week 16 Predictions

 2020 NFL Week 16 Predictions

Bucs -10 over Lions, 31-20

-Lions just playing out the string and they are hurt, so this should be an easy win for the Bucs. 

 

Cards -6 over 49ers, 31-17

-Kyler needs about 6 touchdowns for me in a fantasy final. While that’s probably not going to happen, I generally do think he’s going to have a great game. NFC West Divisional matchups are always tough, especially late in the year. But, this is under a touchdown.

 

Dolphins -2.5 over Raiders, 24-20

-Raiders are wilting and Dolphins are rising. 

 

Browns -9 over Jets, 27-10

-This should be easy. It might be one of those 2-hour and 10 minute games with how much both teams want to run the ball. 

 

Ravens -10.5 over Giants, 30-13

-Ravens roll on. 

 

Texans -7.5 over Bengals, 27-14

-It’s going to get lost, but Deshaun Watson is having an all-time great season. 

 

Bears -7.5 over Jags, 17-6

-Nevermind, THIS is going to be the 2-hour and 10 minute game. Everyone start David Montgomery. The Jets were dumb enough to try and win a game, the Jags aren’t going to be dumb enough to lose out on Trevor Lawrence. 

 

Chiefs -11 over Falcons, 35-23

-The line is only 53.5...so I’d hit that real hard. For personal reasons, I’m going to need Russell Gage to have 150 yards and 2 TDs. We can work with that, right?

 

Colts +1 over Steelers, 27-13

-This is just giving me money at this point. Say it with me everybody, THE STEELERS ARE A BAD TEAM.

 

Chargers -3 over Broncos, 27-23

-Not this year, but going forward this is going to be a great matchup. I look forward to many TNFs of Chargers v Broncos. 

 

WFT -1 over Panthers, 20-17

-I guess. 

 

Rams +1 over Seahawks, 27-24

-Russ isn’t cooking for some reason. *cough, cough* Pete Carroll. Rams were embarrassed last week, but I believe are fundamentally the better team. 

 

Eagles -3 over Cowboys, 30-22

-Jalen Hurts, man. 

 

Titans +3 over Packers, 34-33

-I love and respect the Packers, but talent-wise and health-wise I think the Titans are in a better place right now. They’ve been tested recently against some stronger teams and are very physical. It’s close enough that I’m taking the three points. 

 

Bills -7 over Patriots, 30-10

-Is it too much to ask for the Bills to score a defensive touchdown? (Can you tell I’m in a fantasy final where the other guy had Kamara?)

 

 

Record Last Week: 

Straight Up: 11-3

By Spread: 10-4

 

Record this Year: 

Straight Up: 141-72

By Spread: 109-105

 

Lifetime Record:

Straight Up: 1694-926

By Spread: 1386-1239


Thursday, December 17, 2020

NFL 2020 Week 15 Predictions

 2020 NFL Week 15 Predictions

Chargers +3.5 over Raiders, 23-24

-This should be a shootout...so I’m just taking the extra half point.

 

Bills -6.5 over Broncos, 31-24

-The extra half point feels like a gift here. Also, anyone thinking that the Broncos is going to be really good next year?

 

Packers -8.5 over Panthers, 34-24

-The real bet here is the over because it is only 51. 

 

Colts -7.5 over Texans, 27-16

-The Colts just do their thing every week. The Texans did their thing for a few weeks there...but it was mostly over bad teams and injuries/suspensions have taken their toll. 

 

Titans -10 over Lions, 31-9

-I’m assuming Stafford doesn’t play. Either way, this is ugly. 

 

Bus -5.5 over Falcons, 30-17

-Wow, I love this line. Even if Julio plays...this isn’t going to be close. 

 

Ravens -13 over Jaguars, 33-17

-Might need a little more respect for Gardner...but we’re at the point of the season where the Ravens really need this win and the Jags just really aren’t a good team. 

 

Dolphins -2 over Patriots, 24-20

-Somehow it seems fitting that the nail in the coffin for the Patriots playoff streak is going to happen on the road in Miami. 

 

I will not pick the Bears-Vikings. Horrid NFC North matchup in December.

 

Seahawks -5.5 over WFT, 30-17

-WFT is playing really hard, but at the end of the day Seattle can score at a much more efficient level and has a much more experienced team. 

 

-I don’t know what to do with the 49ers vs. Cowboys game. 

 

Rams -17.5 over Jets, 31-5

-This may not be close to enough points. 

 

Cards -6 over Eagles, 30-20

-This is just a team that needs it. The Cards will also have watched the first set of tapes on Jalen Hurts. 

 

Chiefs -3.5 over Saints, 31-23

-Without Brees, this is really the only thing that makes sense. I wish this was a game at full strength...maybe we’ll get that in February. 

 

Browns -6 over Giants, 24-10

-Browns are just a more disciplined and well-coached football team. Take the under, though….this could be a rock fight.

 

Bengals +12.5 over Steelers, 10-20

-It’s just a rough situation for the Steelers right now. The Bengals aren’t great, but they are showing fight...and 12.5 is just too much.

 

 

Record Last Week: 

Straight Up: 11-4

By Spread: 9-6

 

Record this Year: 

Straight Up: 141-72

By Spread: 109-105

 

Lifetime Record:

Straight Up: 1694-926

By Spread: 1386-1239

 

 


Saturday, December 12, 2020

NFL 2020 Week 14 Predictions

 2020 NFL Week 14 Predictions

Texans -2 over Bears, 22-17

-Until the Bears prove to me that they have a competent offense, I’m going with the team that can at least produce points.

 

Titans -7.5 over Jags, 28-17

-Titans aren’t going to lose this close game and are far closer to the team they were in the second half versus Cleveland than the first half.

 

Panthers -3 over Broncos, 20-14

-Panthers are rested and coming off of a bye. 

 

Cowboys -3.5 over Bengals, 22-13

-I’ve been looking for a while as to where the Cowboys were going to get a win...well, this is the finally the logical spot...but it probably still won’t be pretty. 

 

Chiefs -7 over Dolphins, 33-20

-This is actually a decent amount of respect for the Dolphins. How they’re going to get to 20 points I’m not actually sure. It’ll be a good test, but will probably show the real distance between these two teams. 

 

Cards -2.5 over Giants, 30-27

-This is the last week, Cards. You’ve been limping through games, the Giants have won four in a row, and the thought process about games like this may have to change after this week. But I’m giving you one more week. And even then, it’s because of that half point.

 

Bucs -6.5 over Vikings, 30-23

-Vikings should not have even been close to the Jags last week. Bucs are well-rested coming off of a bye, and hopefully have fixed any inconsistencies that may have plagued them earlier in the year. 

 

Colts -3 over Raiders, 26-22

-Colts are just a very balanced, consistent, and professional team. 

 

Seahawks -14 over Jets, 34-14

-This is a lot of points to lay for a team that knocked me out of my eliminator league last week. But this is the Jets we’re talking about. 

 

Packers -8 over Lions, 31-20

-Lions are shutting people down and packing it in for next year. The Packers can sleepwalk their way to 30 points at this point and seem to be trying to get Rodgers his 3rd MVP. 

 

Chargers +1 over Falcons, 27-25

-Strangely, this is a game where you’re not supposed to take either team in a close game. But by the rules of football, someone does have to win. I’ll take the team that’s not missing its best player. (CRAP, this is totally going to be a tie, isn’t it?)

 

Saints -7 over Eagles, 24-16

-It’s getting tough to lay this many points with such a limited Saints offense. But, the Eagles remain a mess, the Saints are cruising to the 1 seed, and somehow Taysom Hill is by far and away the most experienced QB in this game. 

 

WFT +3.5 over 49ers, 17-16

-I don’t want to watch one minute of this rock fight.

 

Bills -2 over Steelers, 31-24

-Let’s be clear about one thing. I don’t like the Bills. But I haven’t liked the Steelers essentially all season. That’s a hard line to have stayed on for an 11-1 team. The defense is good, but now it has become very injured. I didn’t see passing efficiency with Ben even when it was going well. The Bills are humming on offense and are going to push this Steelers team. 

 

Browns +2.5 over Ravens, 30-27

-I can’t believe I’m taking the Browns...but they are the more consistent, healthy, fundamental, physical team. Wow. 

 

Record Last Week: 

Straight Up: 10-3

By Spread: 8-5

 

Record this Year: 

Straight Up: 130-68

By Spread: 100-99

 

Lifetime Record:

Straight Up: 1683-922

By Spread: 1379-1233


Saturday, December 5, 2020

NFL 2020 Week 13 Predictions

  

2020 NFL Week 13 Predictions

Saints -3 over Falcons, 24-14

Nice showing by the Falcons last week. But this is back to reality versus an elite team. 

 

I refuse to pick Lions vs Bears.

 

Titans -5 over Browns, 30-20

This is a good game, but I think the Titans are much closer to being a real 8-3 team than the Browns are. 

 

Dolphins -10.5 over Bengals, 20-6

Miami is a 7-4 team competing for its division. This is the type of game it just needs to win easy.

 

Vikings -10 over Jags, 23-10

This is my Eliminator pick...and also a game with huge fantasy implications. 

 

Raiders -7.5 over Jets, 23-3

Raiders got killed last week, but this is the Jets we’re talking about. 

 

Colts -3 over Texans, 28-24

I don’t understand why this line is so low. I understand the Texans have been playing better, but these are still teams with inverse records. 

 

Rams -3 over Cards, 27-23

Underrated game. But I think the difference is that the Rams are much more balanced, both run/pass and offense/defense. It might be slipping away for the Cardinals. 

 

Seahawks -11 over Giants, 33-20

The Giants might be feistier than people think in this game. But at the end of the day, they won’t be able to score at the same rate as the Seahawks without making mistakes. 

 

Packers -8.5 over Eagles, 30-15

The Eagles show no consistency and any professional team will easily deal with them. And the Packers have Aaron Rodgers. 

 

Patriots +2 over Chargers, 24-23

I actually don’t know what to do with this game, but a) generally I always take the Patriots in a close game and b) you never take the Chargers in a close game. So...two for one!

 

Chiefs -13.5 over Broncos, 34-17

Yikes, this could be bad. 

 

WFT +6 over Steelers, 20-23

Look I have no idea if they’re going to win...but the Steelers are getting beaten up and at some point here will feel the effects of the rapidly changing game times and rushed schedules. So, I’m going to take the points. 

 

I refuse to pick Bills vs. 49ers...I just have no idea what is going to happen.

 

Ravens -4 over Cowboys, 17-23

I’m going to assume Lamar Jackson is back for this game. This is a case of Baltimore needing this win. 

 

 

Record Last Week: 

Straight Up: 11-4

By Spread: 6-9

 

Record this Year: 

Straight Up: 120-65

By Spread: 92-94

 

Lifetime Record:

Straight Up: 1673-919

By Spread: 1371-1228