Thursday, December 26, 2019

2019 NFL Week 17 Predictions

Jets -1 over Bills, 19-17
-Reports are Bills are sitting everyone. 

Saints -13 over Panthers, 30-13
-Saints trying to get that #1 seed.

Browns -3 over Bengals, 26-22
-Bengals have locked up the number 1 overall pick, so there isn’t a ton of motivation to not win. However, generally the Browns are better and able to move the ball. Chubb secures the rushing title here.

Packers -12.5 over Lions, 30-10
-I’m going to assume the Packers are playing for some specific playoff placement here. Lions are done.

Chiefs -8 over Chargers, 30-17
-Chiefs likely will be playing for the #2 seed, in case NE loses to Miami (unlikely as that is).

Bears -1 over Vikings, 17-16
-Reports are Vikings are sitting people, so this makes sense now. 

Pats -16 over Fins, 31-13
-That’s a lot of points for a team that hasn’t been able to score reliably for almost two months now. However, the Dolphins extended all their energy in their OT victory last week. Nice story, well coached team, but NE basically views this as a playoff game because if they win, they get a bye and avoid playing a playoff game.

Falcons pk over Bucs, 29-27
-I like the way Atlanta is playing. They absolutely need to blow it up, but have almost done too well to do so. Bucs…well, they are looking for a way to get Jameis to 35 TDs and 30 picks, with 5000 yards as well. What a year to watch QBs in.

Steelers -2.5 over Ravens, 14-13
-Normally a week 17 PIT BAL game is wild and rough. However, in this case unfortunately the Ravens are shutting it down and the Steelers are wildly hurt at the skill positions. Probably an unwatchable game.

Cowboys -11 over Washington, 30-17
-Cowboys will score a lot, but, too late Garrett. It needs to be over for you.

Titans -3.5 over Texans, 20-10
-Texans likely to go turtle, just nothing to play for here. Titans want to make the playoffs. Henry should be good to go, perhaps a strong DFS play.

Colts -3.5 over Jags, 24-17
-Jags need to reset. Wow has this been ugly down the stretch.

Eagles -4.5 over Giants, 31-26
-Eagles finish this out, somehow win the division, and might get lucky and get a leaking Seattle team in round 1. What a life.

Raiders +3.5 over Broncos, 20-17
-Just too tight for the extra half point.

Rams -7 over Cards, 29-20
-Divisional game that is somewhat meaningless at the end of the season. However, I think McVay wants a winning season at least on paper, Kyler is hurt, and the Rams are still a far more talented team.

49ers -3 over Seahawks, 26-22
-I love Russell and my Seahawks, but wow the injuries are piling up. I have to take SF here.

Record last week:
Straight Up: 12-4
By Spread: 12-4

Record this year:
Straight Up: 136-82
By Spread: 112-104

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1537-843
By Spread: 1268-1123

Saturday, December 21, 2019

2019 NFL Week 16 Predictions


Week 16 Predictions
Texans -3 over Bucs, 30-26
-One team fighting for something, the other isn't. One team has Deshaun Watson, the other has Jameis. I mean, there it is, right? 

Pats -6.5 over Bills, 20-13
-Probably a rock fight. However, the funny part is NE doesn't really need to win the game. They have Miami next week, and win still wins the division. Still, they are competitive for the 2nd seed and the bye, so hopefully this is a game where the offensive clicks a little better, and Josh Allen comes back to earth a little. 

Rams +7 over 49ers, 24-27
-Just taking a big number versus the suddenly leaky 49ers defense. Hopefully a shootout, I have players on all sides of this one. 

Falcons -7.5 over Jags, 30-17
-So excited about the fantasy prospects here.

Giants +1 over Washington, 20-17 
-Why, I'll never know. 

Jets +3 over Steelers, 20-16
-No idea why, but the Jets resemble a professional offense over the last four weeks.

Saints -2 over Titans, 30-22
-That's a lot of respect to Tennessee. Too much in fact. 

Fins +1.5 over Bengals, 17-13
-Ugh.

Ravens -9.5 over Browns, 37-20
-Lamar is going to take me to a fantasy title, right?

Panthers +6.5 over Colts, 20-16
-Just too many points versus an offensively challenged Colts team right now.

Broncos -7 over Lions, 20-10
-Bad game for the Broncos last week, but this is an okay team versus a bad one.

Chargers -7.5 over Raiders, 27-16
-Chargers are rounding into shape, you know, way too late.

Cowboys -2.5 over Eagles, 24-21
-I guess. I won’t want to watch this. They aren’t worthy.

Seahawks -9 over Cards, 27-17
-Playoff bound team versus 1-2-3 Cancun.

Chiefs -6 over Bears, 27-13
-No way the Bears can score with them.

Packers +5.5 over Vikings, 26-23
-I like getting these points. I’ll take any points with Aaron Rodgers.

Record last week:
Straight Up: 10-6
By Spread: 9-7

Record this year:
Straight Up: 124-78
By Spread: 100-100

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1525-839
By Spread: 1256-1119

Thursday, December 12, 2019

2019 NFL Week 15 Predictions


Jets +15.5 over Ravens, 17-26
-Just because TNF tends to be low scoring and slow. Just cover baby.

Titans -3 over Texans, 27-22
-Sneakily, the Titans are white hot. Texans are likely more talented and more explosive but have more holes and are far more inconsistent. Titans it is then.

Bills +3 over Steelers, 23-22
-Rock fight in a mud pit near a brick yard sprinkled with saw dust. Unwatchable. Take the points.

Broncos +10.5 over Chiefs, 24-23
-Chiefs have clinched the division, have injury issues, and the Broncos are on a tear. Just makes sense for a cover if not an overall win.

Packers -4 over Bears, 26-16
-Packers are the first put together team the Bears have faced in a little while, and it will show here.

Seahawks -6 over Panthers, 26-17
-6 weeks ago, this might have been a good game. Now, ouch. CMC will still get his stats though.

Patriots -9 over Bengals, 24-10
-Tough week for the Pats, but is the Bengals, after a loss, and after a controversy. I’m even starting Brady in two fantasy matchups. I’m extremely aware of how bad he’s been, but I don’t care. It’s going to be bad in Cincy.

Bucs -3.5 over Lions, 20-13
-What an ugly game with all the injuries. Still, the Bucs have far more talent left.

Giants -3.5 over Fins, 20-14
-The Giants can lose and solidify the number 2 overall pick. They won’t of course and will win this stupidly. Honestly, this is a no-bet because the Fins keep things way too close.

Eagles -5.5 over Washington, 17-10
-I will not watch a minute of this monstrosity. Josh McCown was prepping to play WR last week. Incorrect.

Raiders -6.5 over Jags, 30-20
-For the second straight year, and 4th time overall, it is the last home game ever in Oakland for the Raiders. That checks out.

Browns -2.5 over Cards, 20-16
-Browns are alive, Cards are not. That simple.

Vikings -2.5 over Chargers, 24-20
-A nice game somehow. But that Vikings D-Line is going to crush the Chargers.

49ers -11 over Falcons, 33-21
-Big number but yeah….no way I’m taking that.

Rams -1 over Cowboys, 30-27
-You know, I feel good about this pick too. Imagine that after week 4 or so.

Saints -8 over Colts, 34-16
-Wow I love this number. There is just only so high the Colts can go points wise. Last week it took the defense to get into the mid-30s. The Saints won’t make the same kind of mistakes as the Bucs.

Record last week:
Straight Up: 12-3
By Spread: 10-5

Record this year:
Straight Up: 114-72
By Spread: 91-93

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1515-833
By Spread: 1247-1112

Friday, December 6, 2019

2019 NFL Week 14 Predictions


Week 14 Predictions
Ravens -6 over Bills, 26-16
-Super interested in this game, and I wouldn’t bet it, but if forced how can you bet against Lamar right now?

Packers -13 over Washington, 33-10
-I don’t know, Washington is motivated because they can still win the division (checking notes….oh that’s actually a possibility?)

Texans -9 over Broncos, 28-13
-Lock had a nice start, but it is possible the Texans are coming together. Not sure the Broncos will be able to score enough with them.

Saints -2.5 over 49ers, 20-17
-Tough stretch for the Niners, both travel and scheduled opponent-wise. Still a good team, but getting the Saints at home for less than 3 is a gift.

Browns -7 over Bengals, 24-13
-Whatever.

Falcons -3 over Panthers, 27-23
-Taking the infrastructure over the lack of infrastructure.

Vikings -13 over Lions, 30-16
-I actually feel bad for the Lions, and think there will be value in their over next year and early lines because people are only going to remember this end. Add some talent in the defensive backfield and a healthy Stafford and this isn’t a bad team. Right now though, Vikings are going to crush them.

Fins +5.5 over Jets, 20-22
-5.5 points? Are people watching both these teams right now?

Bucs -3 over Colts, 27-16
-I wish it weren’t so. But the Bucs can score, whatever their other faults, and the Colts cannot. Tends to matter.

Chargers -3 over Jags, 24-20
-Minshew is back…but so is Derwin James.

Chiefs +3.5 over Pats, 27-26
-With the extra half hour you kind of have to. Wouldn’t be surprised at all to see a Pats’ win with 37 minutes of possession and some wild ST touchdown, but unlikely with the way it is trending right now.

Steelers -2.5 over Cards, 17-13
-Begrudging respect for the Steelers and what they’ve managed to do here. Cards are wilting.

Titans -2.5 over Raiders, 23-20
-Grab this while it is under 3. Titans a much more physical team right now.

Seahawks pk over Rams, 33-31
-Seahawks just a better more exciting team right now. Great matchup for fantasy though, a lot of points are going to be scored here. Over is a very manageable 47.

Eagles -9.5 over Giants, 24-13
-The amount of people who are excited to see Eli lose his exactly .500 record either way is astounding…..Okay I’m kind of curious too.

Record last week:
Straight Up: 7-8
By Spread: 6-9

Record this year:
Straight Up: 102-69
By Spread: 81-88

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1503-830
By Spread: 1237-1107