Saturday, October 29, 2022

2022 NFL Week 8 Predictions

 2022 NFL Week 8 Predictions

 

Jags -2.5 over Broncos, 25-19

-Jags are just more talented. 

 

Vikings -4 over Cards, 31-26

-Both teams are very similar with inconsistency at QB and coaching. However, one team is 5-1 and home (with Kirk Cousins NOT in prime time), and the other team is 3-4 and on the road and out of their natural time zone (and on a COD release weekend). 

 

Dolphins -4 over Lions, 30-24

-Two high-scoring but inconsistent, and sometimes injured, teams. However, one of them is 4-3 and the other is 1-5. 

 

Cowboys -10 over Bears, 22-10

-Is it bad that I think Zeke missing this game is better for the Cowboys? Oh well. I have a cousin who will proudly start Tony Pollard in at least 4 leagues this weekend. 

 

Raiders -1.5 over Saints, 33-30

-Andy Dalton is still actively throwing the football…I’ll take the Raiders. 

 

Falcons -4 over Panthers, 24-10

-Last week was the Panthers’ “we have no coach, no stars, we’ll show you” week. It was a nice time, but it’s over now. 

 

Patriots -3 over Jets, 22-17

-The Pats are confounding and I don’t know what’s going on. But even in the dark times, we beat the Jets. It doesn’t help that the Jets lost their most exciting, and maybe best, player last week. 

 

Eagles -10.5 over Steelers, 31-13

-Eagles are well-rested coming out of a bye week and at home. They’re going to roll this. 

Titans +1 over Texans, 27-10

-The Tannehill news gives me pause, but a brief pause it is.

 

Giants +3 over Seahawks, 21-20

-This is probably pretty close, so I’m just taking the 3 points. The Metcalf injury also plays a factor. 

 

Rams +1 over 49ers, 24-23

-Ok everyone. The Rams haven’t been great. But they’re rested and coming off a bye week, they’ve had time to sort out their RB and WR2 situations. The 49ers are without Deebo, they’re still working in CMC, so I’ll take the rare opportunity to grab a point with the SB Champs at home. 

 

Colts -3 over Commanders, 20-16

-There’s more talent on this Colts team. And I’m a little intrigued with Ehlinger. 

 

Bills -10.5 over Packers, 35-24

-Everything inside me is screaming to grab the 2-time MVP with 10.5 points. But, I can’t bet against this Bill’s offense…especially rested and prepared. 

 

Bengals -3 over Browns, 30-22

-Long-term, the Chase injury is going to hurt them. But this week I think the only effect is that it brought the line down to 3 from 3.5 or 4. 

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 8-5

By Spread: 6-7

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 60-42

By Spread: 49-54

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 1948-1079
By Spread: 1594-1437

Friday, October 21, 2022

2022 NFL Week 7 Predictions

 2022 NFL Week 7 Predictions

 

Titans -2.5 over Colts, 24-20

-Colts are too inconsistent and the Titans are rested and at home coming off a bye. Start Derrick Henry, folks!

 

Jags -3 over Giants, 22-17

-Alright everybody, this is their last chance. Giants highly respectable 5-1. The Jags have more offensive talent and should win this game. If they don’t…we’re off the bandwagon. 

 

Bucs -13 over Panthers, 24-3

-One would think. 

 

Packers -4.5 over Commanders, 23-10

-I know the Packers haven’t been good. But…this is Washington we’re talking about. 

 

Cowboys -6.5 over Lions, 32-24

-Dak is back. Low confidence in this game, but they should win a high-scoring contest. 

 

Bengals -6.5 over Falcons, 27-20

-Nervous to go against the ATS-winning Falcons this year. But, I feel like this is where the Bengals start beating the reasonably talented teams in front of them and get back towards the top of the conference. 

 

Ravens -6.5 over Browns, 24-10

-Turns out if you focus entirely on stopping the run, the Browns aren’t good at almost anything else. I think Baltimore will figure that out. 

 

Jets +1 over Broncos, 20-17

-How the heck are the Jets not favored in this game? How the heck did I write that sentence seriously?

 

Raiders -7 over Texans, 31-17

-There’s a lot of points, but the Raiders should open it up against the Texans in a pretty convincing win. For their benefit, I do hope the Texans start getting Pearce 25+ touches a game. 

 

Chargers -5 over Seattle, 35-28

-Pretty low confidence on the pick itself, but arrows pointing up on total. 

 

Chiefs -2 over 49ers, 24-21

-Just stay away. I’d take the Chiefs, but I have a weird feeling there’s way too much money being dumped in Vegas on the Chiefs and the 49ers are exactly the type of team that can sneak up on them. 

 

Dolphins -7.5 over Steelers, 31-20

-That’s a big number, but Tua being back should mean the Dolphins go back to huge production and the Steelers frankly are not that good. 

 

Patriots -8.5 over Bears, 30-6

-Easy eliminator pick if you don’t have the Bucs still. 

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 8-5

By Spread: 9-4

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 52-37

By Spread: 43-47

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 1940-1074
By Spread: 1588-1430

Saturday, October 15, 2022

2022 NFL Week 6 Predictions

2022 NFL Week 6 Predictions

 

Vikings -3 over Dolphins, 27-23

-What should be a super exciting offensive game…is marred by whatever you call the Dolphins’ QB situation. 

 

Patriots +2.5 over Browns, 24-23

-I wish the Patriots’ QB situation was more resolved, but otherwise I like the overall composition of this team. Plus, you know, Bill going back to Cleveland…if you know, you know. 

 

Falcons +5.5 over 49ers, 24-26

-Falcons do exceedingly well against the spread. That’s it.

 

Bucs -9.5 over Steelers, 35-10

-Not enough points in the world. 

 

Bengals -2.5 over Saints, 27-17

-The Andy Dalton revenge game? Yeah, I don’t think so. 

 

Ravens -5.5 over Giants, 30-20

-Am I making this my eliminator pick this week? Sure am. Do I feel good about it? Sure don’t. Do I respect Daboll and think the Giants have managed their way to a good record, but the Ravens are just a lot better overall? Sure do. 

 

Jets +7.5 over Packers, 22-28

-Just cover, baby. Packers don’t deserve to lay any more than a TD versus anyone right now. 

 

Jags +1.5 over Colts, 20-10

-No Jonathan Taylor, Matt Ryan looks cooked….just when I was out on the Jags, they pull me back in. 

 

Seahawks +3 over Cardinals, 30-27

-Just take the over…don’t try to pick who wins. It’s better for your mental health. 

 

Rams -10 over Panthers, 24-13

-The Rams probably shouldn’t be laying 10 points to anyone. But if it had to be someone, it’s the team that recently doesn’t have a coach. And PJ Walker is QB for some reason. 

 

Bills -2.5 over Chiefs, 38-33

-Points, baby! Bills want to make a statement here and care about this game far more than KC does. 

 

Eagles -6.5 over Cowboys, 27-19

-At the end of the day, the Cowboys have a lot of talent but probably can’t score at the rate needed to beat Philadelphia. 

 

Chargers -5 over Broncos, 26-20

-This assumes that Russell is even close to healthy. Otherwise, this could be a lot uglier. 

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 10-5

By Spread: 7-8

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 44-32

By Spread: 34-43

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 1932-1069
By Spread: 1579-1426 

Saturday, October 8, 2022

2022 NFL Week 5 Predictions

 2022 NFL Week 5 Predictions

Packers -8 over Giants, 27-6

-Pack can score, Giants cannot. 

 

Patriots -3 over Lions, 20-16

-I really want to support my Lions, but they’re beat up, it’s in New England, and the Patriots are a better team than their record. 

 

Bills -14 over Steelers, 37-22

-Don’t get me wrong, this is gonna be a rout. However, with most of Buffalo’s secondary injured, I like there to be a lot of points here. Pickett over 203.5…

 

Dolphins -3.5 over Jets, 28-23

-Jets have been a nice story, but Theodore will ably guide an easy victory here. 

 

Bucs -10 over Falcons, 34-23

-I was getting really excited to pick the Bucs here…and then saw how big the line got. Seems like everyone is on the same page. 

 

Seahawks +5.5 over Saints, 23-26

-I still don’t really like Seattle, but they’re just at a different level of function than NO is right now. 

 

Jags -7 over Texans, 30-22

-Alright, Jags. Last week was your giveaway. Rainy conditions, playing the best team in the NFL, it happens. You want to be a good team? This is your taking care of business game. 

 

Titans -1 over Commanders, 24-13

-*eagerly runs to the counter* How do most people think these teams are even close? Especially when they are trending in opposite directions. 

 

Vikings -7.5 over Bears, 30-10

-That’s a big number, but the Bears literally can’t throw the football. 

 

Chargers -1 over Brown, 30-23

-I’m personally insulted. The Browns have a strong roster in certain areas. But….Herbert > Brissett. 

 

49ers -6.5 over Panthers, 26-16

-It’s going to go bad for Baker real fast. 

 

Rams -5 over Cowboys, 24-13

-Cowboys have gotten away with smoke and mirror wins over flawed opponents. The Rams aren’t perfect…but they’re not that. 

 

Eagles -5.5 over Cardinals, 31-22

-Superior bird. 

 

Bengals +3.5 over Ravens, 27-26

-Probably a very close game, just taking the extra half point. 

 

Chiefs -7 over Raiders, 34-20

-...you’ve all seen the last 5 years of this matchup, right?

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 11-4

By Spread: 7-8

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 34-27

By Spread: 27-35

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 1922-1064
By Spread: 1572-1418

Saturday, October 1, 2022

2022 NFL - Week 4 Predictions

 2022 NFL Week 4 Predictions

Speed round, as we are on wedding weekend number 2 and I don’t have much time. 

 

Vikings -3.5 over Saints, 24-13

-Wish I had grabbed this minus -2.5 or even 3. But still, how do the Saints score with the Viks, especially with Dalton at QB? 

 

Chargers -6 over Texans, 31-16

-One of your Eliminator picks of the week. 

 

Giants -3 over Bears, 17-10

-Have self respect. Don’t watch any of this game. Keep an eye on touchdowns, then see Saquon and Herbert’s stats at the end. That’s fine. 

 

Lions -3.5 over Seahawks, 26-16

-Everyone and their mother is going to play Jamaal Williams in DFS and KOM leagues, aren’t they? (Checks quickly…I sure am too). 

 

Jags +6.5 over Eagles, 27-31

-Showing the respect of how well the Jags have played thus far. Too many points. 

 

Jets +3.5 over Steelers, 20-10

-The Jets aren’t good. But the Steelers might be truly bad and boring. At least the Jets are young and exciting. 

 

Falcons +1.5 over Browns, 24-20

-No idea what to make of the Browns. Still well coached, tough, strong players at multiple positions. Still makes me feel icky to think about, and having season from hell vibes with Garrett being the latest indicator. I’m going to take the pesky Falcons at home. 

 

Titans +3.5 over Colts, 23-24

-Did we watch last week? Titans looked okay again, and the Colts won in a fluke. Not sure that warrants a 3.5 point line. 

 

Cowboys -3 over Commanders, 17-13

-I guess? Stay away from this, and like Giants-Bears, don’t watch it. Not from boredom, but because Wentz can just make you feel ill watching it. 

 

Bills -3.5 over Ravens, 34-30

-Dolphins was such a fluke loss. While the Ravens are good, there just isn’t anything like Buffalo at this point. Coming off a big AFC loss, they will absolutely get up for this game. 

 

Panthers -1.5 over Cardinals, 20-17

-CMC, if there was a game to break out, this is it. It makes sense. Oh wait, you are already vaguely questionable for the week. Urg. 

 

Raiders -2.5 over Broncos, 20-16

-Just a desperation play, and it isn’t a full 3. 

 

Packers -9.5 over Patriots, 23-10 

-Not going to be pretty to watch. In the “it’s going to be over quickly” sense as well as “the actual mechanics of the game aren’t going to be pretty” sense. 

 

Bucs -1 over Chiefs, 27-24

-Both off tough losses to conference foes, the Bucs continue to hang in games with no offense. Evans is back, Tom Brady at home in primetime over Mahomes….one more time. 

 

Rams +1.5 over 49ers, 27-22

-Rams getting points is an insult. I know the history, and the road status but…c’mon. It’s still the champs versus a beaten up and inconsistent team. 

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 9-7

By Spread: 10-6

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 23-23

By Spread: 20-27

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 1911-1060
By Spread: 1565-1410

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