Monday, September 5, 2016

2016 Week 1 Predictions & Season Predictions

2016 NFL Playoff Predictions and Awards

Division Winners
AFC East – Patriots
AFC North – Bengals
AFC South – Colts
AFC West – Raiders
AFC Wild Cards – Chiefs & Texans
AFC Championship – Patriots over Bengals

NFC East – Giants
NFC North – Packers
NFC South – Panthers
NFC West – Cardinals
NFC Wild Cards – Seahawks & Saints   
NFC Championship – Packers over Cardinals  

Superbowl: Packers over Patriots

Awards
MVP: Aaron Rodgers
-Luck or Newton may have better raw numbers, but Rodgers will have a ton of wins and his typically efficient season

OPY: Newton
-A ton of touchdowns are still coming for Cam with better WRs this year.

DPY: JJ Watt
-This is one of those “until further notice this will likely be the pick each year” situations.

ORY: Zeke Elliot
-Talent and opportunity.

DRY: Jalen Ramsey
-Again, based on opportunity. Was going to be Joey Bosa, but that didn’t work out well.

COY: Belichick
-If he goes 12-4, 13-3 with Brady missing and so much hubbub…




Last season my spread picks were not nearly good enough. The goal is to clean that up a bit this year.

Week 1 Predictions:
Titans +1.5 over Viks, 20-13
-Just because I love Mariota and the Vikings are in transition at quarterback.

Chiefs -7 over Chargers, 27-17
-Someday, the Chargers will fix their running defense and offensive line health.

Bears +6 over Texans, 20-21
-Bears cover. Sneakily, they had the 10th best offense last year and Cutler was a top 2 QB under pressure. Texans have a bunch of new toys they need to figure out how to use. Watt isn't fully healthy yet. 

Raiders +1 over Saints, 37-35
-Shootout alert! Irrational Derek Carr love! 

Packers -4.5 over Jags, 34-27
-The game that made me think how much I am allowed to allocate to line guessing this year! Wow this is delicious. 4.5? Aaron Rodgers?!

Bengals -2.5 over Jets, 23-17
-Bengals are just so physical on both lines, and the Jets’ offense will stay good as long as it takes the league to figure out Fitzmagick. Yeah…I’ll stay with the Bengals.

Browns +4 over Eagles, 20-19
-Just taking the points between two bad teams, one having a veteran QB and one with a rookie one.

Ravens -3 over Bills, 20-14
-Bills had the offseason from hell. Ravens quietly got healthy from their many injuries.

Falcons -3 over Bucs, 26-20
-Still the veteran team versus the young team. Almost Bucs.

Dolphins +10.5 over Seahawks, 21-27
-That’s just too many points for the first week of the season. Just need to cover.

Giants over Cowboys PK, 27-23
-All about the Romo injury. I like the Giants offense a little this year too.

Colts -4 over Lions, 27-14
-One team gains its superstar back, one loses theirs to retirement….4 point game? Yes please.

Cards -6 over Pats, 30-23
-I really like this Cards team. Too much in Arizona without Brady.

Ethnic Slurs +3.5 over Steelers, 27-30
-You like this pick? It’s really just for the cover versus a still below average secondary.

LA Rams (!) -2.5 over 49ers, 19-16
-The 49ers are going to be really bad. Blaine Gabbert everyone! Los Angeles has football again! 


Record last year:
Straight Up: 140-90
By Spread: 120-108

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 935-514
By Spread: 765-670


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