Friday, January 13, 2023

2022 NFL Week 19 Predictions: Wild Card Round

 2022 NFL Week 19 Predictions: Wild Card Round

 

49ers -9.5 over Seahawks, 27-10

-The Seahawks have had a nice season. But they are running into the big physical monster team. 

 

Chargers -2 over Jaguars, 27-20

-I know a lot of people are going the other way with this pick. And believe me, I am frustrated that Staley played his starters last week for so long. However, I think Mike Williams will be more missed next week versus Kansas City. There are a lot of similarities between these teams and the Jaguars do have an experience advantage at head coach. However, the Chargers have an experience advantage across the defense and skill positions.

 

Bills -13 over Dolphins, 34-6

-I think this is going to be an absolute butt-whooping. Skylar just can’t keep up with Josh. 

 

Vikings -3 over Giants, 27-23

-It comes down to whether you believe winning close games is random or a skill. In this case, that means you either believe regression is coming or a skill will be in repeated use. I’m leaning toward the latter. The best player in this game (Jefferson) also happens to represent the Giants’ biggest weakness: they cannot produce points or yards dynamically. 

 

Bengals -8.5 over Ravens, 31-13

-I almost feel bad for the Ravens, because I would love to see this contest at full strength. Almost.  

 

Bucs +2.5 over Cowboys, 24-23

-Thomas. Edward. Patrick. Brady. The Cowboys lost badly to them in Week 1 and while that’s a long time ago, the Bucs are restarting their season right now and none of the rest of it matters. Are they a perfect team? No. But they have enough with a lot of SB champions on the roster. And these Cowboys are fake. I would even celebrate the Cowboys winning. While that would make this selection wrong, it would set up an even bigger fall for Dallas next week.

 

Record Last Week:

Straight Up: 12-4

By Spread: 10-6

 

Record This Year:

Straight Up: 162-91

By Spread: 127-126

 

Lifetime Record:
Straight Up: 2049-1128
By Spread: 1672-1509

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