NFL 2011 Week 4 Predictions

Week 3 was a strange week. So many of the games finished within a touchdown it made the spreads powerful. Somehow, I don’t see that trend continuing.

Here are my week 4 selections:

Bears -6 over Panthers, 21-13

-Bears roll this even more than it appears over the rookie QB. Bears defense is a very strong and Cam won’t be able to throw the ball deep successfully.

Bills -3 over Bengals, 20-14

-This is painful, but the Bills are 3-0, just beat NE, and just seem more put together than the Bengals. If Cedric Benson doesn’t play, make this an even higher margin of victory.

Vikings -1 over Chiefs, 17-10

-Both teams are disappointing, sinking, and just generally a sad sight. But the Vikings still have Adrian Peterson, and the Chiefs do not have Jamaal Charles.

Saints -7.5 over Jags, 34-10

-Blowout. Saints defense has a chance to feel good about themselves with 2-3 picks from Gabbert. Mark Ingram may actually have a significant week fantasy wise.

Texans -3 over Steelers, 31-20

-Even more convincing than this score, Texans will rule this matchup. Steelers can no longer stop the run, and the Steelers cannot block for Roeslithberger.

Detroit -3 over Dallas, 31-23

-Dallas has too many injuries, especially in the secondary. Detroit is for real and maybe more people on the national stage will notice after they shoot down the Cowboys.

Titans -1 over Browns, 24-10

-The Browns cannot score, Titans can. I think CJ has a good day even if he isn’t great yet. The memory of their former OC inspires the Titans to victory.

Atlanta -4.5 over Seattle, 20-13

-Not pretty, but Atlanta wins because they are just so much better. Still, East Coast team traveling west (and very South going very North actually) can be a problem. I would not use an eliminator pick on them.

Packers -12.5 over Denver, 31-10

-Not much to say here except that Denver isn’t very good and the Packers are. Also, the Packers haven’t played an awesome game yet and are still comfortably 3-0. That game is coming.

Chargers -7 over Dolphins, 27-13

-The Chargers, now that September is over, can start rolling and putting up numbers.

Patriots -4 over Raiders, 34-23

-Just because Belichick doesn’t EVER lose two games in a row. I mean, really, look it up. And Jason Campbell is still Jason Campbell. However I give the Raiders enough respect as a tough team that this isn’t a cake walk, and the Pats don’t seal it until very late.

Ravens -3.5 over Jets, 24-17

-So, I think this a simple matter of the Jets not being a good team and the Ravens being close to a good team. So, 7 point victory?

Bucs -10 over Colts, 24-7

-Colts gave their all last week, and they just won’t have enough. Painter will make mistakes, and the Bucs will run it all over the Colts. Blount is the perfect back to take advantage of the Colts smallish defense. I am actually sitting Josh Freeman in several leagues because I think he will be sitting in real life come the end of the 3^rd Quarter. How much does ESPN regret putting the Colts on MNF now, huh?

ELIMINATOR PICK

Record last week:

Straight Up: 7-5

By Spread: 6-6

Record this year:

Straight Up: 25-12

By Spread: 20-15

Record last year:

Straight Up: 138-55

By Spread: 112-92

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 281-145
By Spread: 232-193

BLISS