NFL 2011 Week 3 Predictions

I had a good week in the second set of games this week, going 11-2 straight up and 7-4-2 against the spread. Hate three point lines. Time for week three: let’s do this.

Titans -6.5 over Broncos, 21-13

-Titans are getting healthier (or perhaps more in shape, I’m looking at you CJ2K) and the Broncos aren’t even close to full health. This is in Tennessee, and they should roll over the Broncos. Sit Orton.

Lions -3.5 over Viks, 27-13

-Donovan McNabb still the quarterback? Thanks!

Saints -4 over Texans, 33-27

-High scoring, should grab the over easy. I like the Saints to win because they are significantly more proven. It is in the Superdome, which helps. The Texans though look to be overconfident, and I don’t trust their new spiffy defense that much yet. Saints will be the best 2-1 team after this weekend.

Pats -7 over Bills, 35-17

-So they beat the Chargers by 14, and the line for this game is 7? I don’t get it. If Belichick is better than Norv, he is MUCH better than Chan Gailey. The Bills will be feisty, but yeah, it isn’t happening here. Bills are 3-20 against NE since Bill took over.

Carolina-Jacksonville, ugh, that could be ugly, I am staying away. Same with SF and Cincy. You couldn’t pay me to watch that game.

Giants +9 over Eagles, 20-23

-These games are always tougher than they should be, so 9 points is too much. If Vick doesn’t play or gets knocked out early, anything can happen. Wait, Brandon Stokley may be starting for the Giants. Maybe not then.

Ravens -4 over Rams, 23-17

-Ravens are angry, the Rams can’t stop the run, Rams have no healthy skill players.

Chargers –30 versus Chiefs, 38-7

-I have no idea where this line will end up and I am not sure it matters. Chargers roll, Rivers’ MVP stats actually get hurt because he gets pulled in the third quarter.

Raiders +3.5 over Jets, 20-21

-We’ve been here before. The Raiders are apparently feisty. The Jets don’t look that good to me. So this is a win but a cover for the Raiders. The “Jets go to Oakland” game over the years has been a strange one though. An upset would not surprise me.

Cards -3.5 over Seahawks, 24-10

-Seattle is god-awful, and I believe in the Cards. If Beanie doesn’t play, make it more like 20-10.

ATL-TB is going to be weird, low scoring, and dependent upon whether Tampa can keep it close. I am not going to hazard a guess officially, but think it will be low scoring Tampa win because it is in TB.

Packers -3.5 over Bears, 27-17

-Packers haven’t put together a complete game yet, and will soon. The Bears O-Line isn’t good, and Clay Matthews may have a big day.

Steelers -10.5 over Colts, 24-7

-I don’t like the Steelers this year, but they are being given a layup here. The Colts are really bad, reeling, and just kind of pathetic. See PIT-SEA all over again. Isaac Redman is a sneaky spot start here, fantasy wise.

ELIMINATOR PICK

Skins +4.5 over Cowboys, 21-20

-I truly despise this pick. These Skins are not for real. But Rex had 320 and 2 TDs against Dallas late last year, Dallas has hurt corners and WRs, and Romo may or may not have two working lungs for this game. In addition, Dallas is starting a guy who Michael Irvin had a role in mentoring at WR. I guess the Redskins will win, but jesh.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 11-2

By Spread: 7-4

Record this year:

Straight Up: 18-7

By Spread: 14-9

Record last year:

Straight Up: 138-55

By Spread: 112-92

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 274-140
By Spread: 226-187

BLISS