Thursday, December 22, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 16 Predictions

Week 16 Predictions:
Giants -2.5 over Eagles, 20-13
-Giants are alive and their defense is fired up. Carson Wentz has had a positive rookie campaign but should focus on finishing it quietly and conservatively because it is off the rails a bit.

Bears +3.5 over Washington Professional Football Franchise, 24-23
-Bears are feisty and Matt Barkley might be an NFL quarterback who suddenly has a decent set of weapons. I’ll say, the Bears will be interesting to watch for next year if they can piece things together in the offseason. The Washington team remains inconsistent, and I don’t trust them.

Fins +3.5 over Bills, 24-20
-Fins are alive for a playoff spot and the Bills are deciding which week to fire their coach on. I understand its Matt Moore, but the points here are essentially free.

Bucs +3.5 over Saints, 31-30
-Confusing game because the Bucs just lost and the Saints won, but their playoffs odds are the inverse of that. Bucs getting points is too good of a boon, even if I don’t like them that much. Good over bet though.

Falcons -2.5 over Panthers, 31-26
-This would about end the Panthers season, and the Falcons keep the offense rolling. Panthers also had a short week and had to travel, and Cam isn’t 100% healthy.

Packers -6.5 over Vikings, 24-6
-Packers let the Bears come too close last week, but the Bears aren’t horrible. Vikings are about done and can’t really move the ball. Packers should bust this one open by margin, but I’d hit the under.

Pats -16.5 over Jets, 30-10
-Way too many points to lay, but still the probable result. Death by 1000 papercuts is the most likely strategy here.

Titans -5 over Jags, 27-17
-Titans continue to be underrated. Blake Bortles continues to throw ducks. 5 points? Insulting.

Chargers -6 over Browns, 23-12
-I really want to see the win for the Browns in their remaining games, but I don’t think that is going to happen.

Raiders -3.5 over Colts, 30-26
-Colts are riding high, Raiders are barely surviving…this is the exact kind of game the Colts give away.

Niners +3.5 over Rams, 13-10
-This has to be on television?

Cards +8.5 over Seahawks,
Seattle isn’t exactly lighting the world on fire, and the Cards are feisty. It should be close enough for the cover.

Texans -1.5 over Bengals, 17-13
-Savage can’t be worse than Brock. AJ Green coming back will be nice for the Bengals, but the Texans are alive for a playoff spot.

Ravens +5 over Steelers, 21-20
-Ravens are a tough gritty team that battles back. Steelers are much better at home but still not quite the team their reputation and record suggests. Jimmy Smith’s presence means a lot to the ability to cover Steelers’ receivers though.

Chiefs -4 over Broncos, 20-13
-Weather may affect this, but even still the Broncos haven’t been good for a while. Chiefs grit this one out, and probably find some of their running game again too.

Lions +7.5 over Cowboys, 20-22
-That’s a half point too many against a Cowboys team that isn’t super sharp right now.


Record last week: 
Straight Up: 12-4
By Spread: 9-7

Record this year: 
Straight Up: 122-81
By Spread: 104-97

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1066-597
By Spread: 878-770


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