Friday, September 14, 2018

NFL 2018 Week 2 Predictions


Week 2 Predictions
Bengals +2 over Ravens, 26-20
-I had this, I swear. Bengals are going to win this division, though the loss of Mixon hurts.

Falcons -3.5 over Panthers, 27-19
-I am choosing to believe in my initial read of the Falcons, and chalk their first game up to losing to the Champs at home. I don’t know the Panthers are for real: They should have blown the door off the terrible Cowboys last week.

Chargers -7.5 over Bills, 33-6
-Oh Bills. This is going to be ugly. At least it’s Josh Allen.

Vikings +3.5 over Packers, 24-20
-Just a value bet that either Rodgers doesn’t play or plays very limited. Even if he plays well, the Vikings can totally win anyways so this bet just makes too much sense.

Saints -7.5 over Browns, 34-10
-Browns fought hard for their moral victory. With a tie, they have their best record after opening week since 2004. I wish I was making that up. Saints lost badly but truly played very well on offense. Were that game 15 more minutes, the Saints would have won easily.

Chiefs +4.5 over Steelers, 30-27
-Big Ben’s health aside, something just isn’t right with the Steelers right now. The Chiefs can score, and that will be enough to at least cover.

Eagles -3 over Bucs, 26-16
-Bucs come down to Earth playing the defending champs. Fitzmagick likely oscillates back to his opposite personality and performance.

Washington -3.5 over Colts, 27-22
-I still don’t love Washington but the Colts are a below average team. If Luck ever went down, this would be really bad.

Rams -10 over Cards, 30-9
-Eliminator pick of the week. Play Rosen Cards, please.

Lions +3.5 over 49ers, 23-22
-The Lions aren’t as bad as they looked, and the 49ers are about as good as we saw last week. I’m just taking the 3.5 points because this should be close.

Broncos -4 over Raiders, 20-12
-Raiders just may be very bad. Broncos may be adequately competent. You know what would be good though? This Lindsey fellow to not out snap Royce Freeman.

Pats -1.5 over Jags, 24-17
-Honestly, with a limited or missing Fournette, this is a team the Patriots are still better than. Brady over Bortles. That’s so simple, sometimes it is the perfect thing to return to.

Giants +3.5 over Cowboys, 21-18
-I don’t think the Cowboys are good, and the Giants played reasonably well very an awesome defense last week. Their challenge is significantly less this week.

Bears -3 over Seahawks, 29-19
-The Bears should have won that game, and learned lessons about finishing and conservative game plans. The Seahawks have something like 6 starters missing for this week and generally are just in rough shape.


Record in 2018:
Straight Up: 9-5
By Spread: 8-6

Record in 2017:
Straight Up: 165-95
By Spread: 133-125

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1271-689
By Spread: 1045-919

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