NFL 2011 Week 12 Predictions

Weird week because I pushed exactly on two lines, but I still feel like I have a good feel now.

Short week, here are the picks a little early due to travel for Thanksgiving.

Week 12 Predictions:

Lions +6.5 over the Packers, 34-37

-The Lions could very well win this game, so the points are awfully tempting. The Packers are giving up WAY too many yards and this is the most logical place for a misstep to occur.

Dolphins +7.5 over Cowboys, 24-27

-Miami is playing really well right now and I would either take the points or not pick this game.

Ravens -3 over 49ers, 24-16

-This is the week where the field goal kicking Niners finally are defeated by a team that scores a few touchdowns. The Ravens play up to the level of competition (see games versus the Steelers), and I think this is a game where they assert how good they are. Ray Rice has a big combined yardage day and the Ravens win the battle of the brothers.

Cards +3.5 over Rams, 17-14

-I hate the NFC West.

Bills +8.5 over Jets, 14-17

-Yeah, I don’t know about the results but 8.5 points are too much.

Bengals -7.5 over Browns, 28-13

-The Browns are horrible; Bengals have had the best two losses in recent memory by any team. This may erupt into a romp and AJ Green should continue to take time to heal. Andy Dalton is for real kids.

Texans -3 over Jags, 27-10

-The Jags are horrible. Houston will be trying out Matt Leinart, but they should still be able to win this handily. Too bad no one will be watching.

Panthers -3.5 over Colts, 20-7

-Panthers aren’t great but the Colts are horrendous. Cam has a decent day but honestly will be done by the 3^rd quarter.

Titans -3 over Bucs, 24-20

-I oscillated with this one, but the Titans are at home and their defense is much better. If Hasselbeck doesn’t play, forget this.

Falcons -9.5 over Vikings, 24-10

-Just because the Vikings won’t have Adrian Peterson, and the Falcons are good enough to win this game. This smells like a “21-3 by the midpoint of the second quarter and we run it out from there” game.

Bears +5.5 over Raiders, 20-21

-Raiders probably win but even without Cutler the Bears are good enough to cover.

Seahawks -4 over Skins, 17-7

-Ugh, the Seahawks are thoroughly mediocre, but Clinton Portis could be carrying the ball this week for all we know in Washington this week, backed up by Stephen Davis.

Patriots -3.5 over Eagles, 33-17

-If it is Vick the Pats will punish him physically. If it is Young, Bill will mess with his head. The Pats will put 8 in to contain McCoy, the Eagles probably won’t have Maclin, and DeSean is about due for a boneheaded play filled week. The Pats TEs should roll over the Eagles here.

Steelers -10.5 over Chiefs, 28-6

-Oh Tyler Palko, wow. Bad luck for your first two starts. A friend told me this week “this is the guy who couldn’t make a bad CFL team last year”.

Saints -6.5 over Giants, 31-23

-Love the over for this game, but the Saints major weakness is stopping the run. The Giants cannot run it. That’s it.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 11-2

By Spread: 7-4

Record this year:

Straight Up: 85-35

By Spread: 68-51

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 341-168
By Spread: 277-229

BLISS