NFL 2011 Week 13 Predictions

I had a really strong week last week and am now cruising along. The teams that are out of it are predictably starting to rest hurt players and put many others on IR. We should see more of the “team A should win because they are clearly better than team B and then they actually do win” games happen.  

Good luck to everyone who needs a win to get into their fantasy playoffs. 

Top 5:

1. Packers

2. Ravens

3. Patriots

4. 49ers

5. Saints

Falcons -3 over Texans, 24-14

-Texans cannot score as much as they will need to, and the Falcons will run the ball hard and grind out a win. The Falcons are actually playing really well in their last 6 games and if not for the Mike Smith 4^th down call in the Saints game, we’d be talking about them making a run at the 2^nd seed despite their bad start.

Panthers +3.5 over Bucs, 21-20

-I heard Josh Freeman connected with “gun” “mishap” and “throwing thumb” this week. I tend to avoid those situations.

Bengals +7.5 over Steelers, 23-24

-I want no part of picking a winner, but the points are delicious. The Steelers have not impressed lately, and Ben hurt his thumb this week again at practice.

Patriots -20.5 over Colts, 38-6

-This could be really ugly. Brady might have 500 yards again. The Colts have been a thorn in the sides of the Pats and vice versa for years. Bill doesn’t let up in these situations. Hey Colts fans, at least Manning is allowed to throw the ball again….on the sidelines.

Bears -6.5 over Chiefs, 20-6

-Whether it is Orton or Palko it is going to be ugly and that is going to counter any Caleb impact into this game.

Raiders -3 over Dolphins, 24-17

-I think these teams are actually pretty well matched. But this is one of those situations where one team is going to the playoffs and one team is almost done. It makes a difference in these situations, near the end of the year.

Bills -2 over Titans, 24-20

-A “home” game for the Bills pays off. They should have won last week and while the Titans are a tough little team they won’t be able to score with the Bills. Chris Johnson could be a disappointment here: I think the Bills stack it all against him.

Ravens -6 over Browns, 27-10

-Ravens beat Cincy. Cincy beat Browns. Ravens are good. Cleveland is not. Explain this being a 6 point line please?

Cards +4.5 over Cowboys, 23-24

-Cowboys win under the “team that is going somewhere versus team that isn’t” theorem. However, their history going into Arizona is a horror show. Take the points.

Packers-Giants…..yeah, just take the over. Either the Packers will win by 21 or the Giants by 3 by a 38-35 score. So, just take the over.

Saints -9 over Lions, 38-27

-This would have been a hell of game 5 weeks ago. Actually, it was one of the most popular Madden matchups 5 weeks ago. But now the Lions have lost any semblance of running, and that is the Saints biggest weakness. The Saints are going to eat up the Lions secondary, especially without Suh’s pass rush.

Jags +3.5 over Chargers, 21-20

-Chargers are reeling, traveling cross country for a Monday night game, and the Jags have a new coach who will run MJD like crazy. Take the 3.5 with the emphasis on the .5.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 14-1

By Spread: 11-4

Record this year:

Straight Up: 99-36

By Spread: 79-55

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 344-169
By Spread: 288-233

BLISS