NFL 2011 Week 15 Predictions

Well, that was close. I edged out a .500 against the spread on the strength of getting nearly every 4 o’clock game right. Good luck to everyone in their fantasy playoffs week 2 matchups.

Top 5:

1. Packers

2. Ravens

3. Patriots

4. Saints

5. Steelers

Falcons -11.5 over Jags, 31-13

-Falcons need it and the Jags don’t. Falcon big name players White, Jones, Turner, and Gonzalez should put up good counting stats.

Dallas -7 over Bucs, 27-13

-Dallas is hurting, and this is a “get right” game.

Carolina +6.5 over Houston, 21-23

-6.5 against the King of Cover? I don’t think so. Houston will win but probably won’t be able to put a huge lead out and stay on it.

Bengals -6 over Rams, 28-6

-From the vault of “unwatchable”…

Packers -13.5 over Chiefs, 28-6

-See above. I am glad that Ricky Stanzi is finally being given a chance though….wait, Kyle Orton is really starting? Ugh.

Bills +1.5 over Dolphins, 21-20

-Bills are more “in it” than the Fins are, and with Sparano gone the major impetus for Miami to work hard has been removed.

Saints -6.5 over Vikings, 34-17

-Someone explain this line. Maybe I give the Vikings a bit more credit if AP plays, but only 7 points?

Seahawks +3.5 over Bears, 20-21

-Bears get it out of desperation, but 3.5 is way too much to ignore.

Titans -6.5 over Colts, 21-13

-Titans run the ball like crazy and own possession/efficiency, cruising to a victory.

Giants -6.5 over Skins, 28-17

-Another line I just don’t get. How is this not 10 points at least? The Giants are rolling offensively and the Skins cannot stop anyone. There is a big game from Nicks coming here.

Lions -1.5 over Raiders, 27-20

-In the end, this is a case of a team with just a little more overall talent being defeated by a team with a superior ability to score and score fast. Lions win because of that.

Cards -7 over Browns, 24-10

-I have irrationally liked the Cards all year. It is starting to pay off. Somehow, despite Kolb, they are succeeding. And the Browns are pathetic.

Pats -6 over Broncos, 34-20

-The Pats are much better, overall and specifically on offense. But they have to be up by 15 in the 4^th for me to be comfortable. And actually, I think they will be.

PHI-NYJ is too close, and the comedy of errors here could be hilarious.

BAL-SD is too close to call. If the line drifts over 2.5 grab the points.

SF-PIT will entirely depend on Big Ben playing or not.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 9-5

By Spread: 7-7

Record this year:

Straight Up: 113-47

By Spread: 90-69

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 358-180
By Spread: 299-247

BLISS