Friday, October 11, 2013

NFL 2013 Week 6 Predictions

Lions -2.5 over Browns, 27-23
-The Lions, assuming Calvin plays, are a much better team than Cleveland. The Browns have a legit defense, but can't score with Detroit. 

Staying away from bad-bad matchups in NYJ-PIT and PHI-TB, and the uncertainty over Peterson's status for CAR-MIN makes me want to be away from that either. 

Bengals -7.5 over Bills, 30-6
-Thad Lewis? Should be a romp, even with Byrd's return to Buffalo's secondary. 
-Best Eliminator Pick

Raiders +10 over Chiefs, 17-26
-Should be an easy win, but the Chiefs probably shouldn't be laying this many points against anyone. If they cover, it will be because of defensive or special team TDs. 

Rams +7.5 over Texans, 23-24
-Way too many points. A pure upset wouldn't surprise me here. 

Packers -3.5 over Ravens, 31-22
-The Ravens continue to have injuries mount, and I don't think they can score with Green Bay anyways. 

Jags +27.5 over Broncos, 17-30
-A win, just not a romp. Justin Blackmon has a big game. Some guy named Manning does too, but I don't think anyone owns him in fantasy though. 

Seahawks -13.5 over Titans, 27-12
-No Locker, the Fitzpatrick rule is in effect. Seattle's DEF/ST is a great play. 

Pats -2.5 over Saints, 34-30
-Saints aren't the same on the road in colder weather, and the Pats don't lose two in a row. That simple. If the Pats lose, I fully anoint the Saints as my favorite in the NFC and probably overall and finally readjust my thinking of the Pats as an elite team. I admit I am borderline on that topic already. 

Cowboys -5.5 over Ethnic Slurs, 31-13
-Is there a reason this is in the Vegas zone and not a full 7-9 point line? Just RGIII respect? Oh well, take it and run. The Washington defense is horrible and the Cowboys are a competent football team with an explosive offense. 
-Strategic Eliminator Pick

Colts -1.5 over Chargers, 30-24
-Probably a good game, but the start of Andrew Luck dominating in prime time games. 



Record last week:
Straight Up: 5-4
By Spread: 5-4

Record this year: 
Straight Up: 36-23
By Spread: 33-26


Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 570-302
By Spread: 476-402



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