Wednesday, December 27, 2017

2017 NFL Week 17 Predictions

Week 17 Predictions
Lions -7.5 over Packers, 27-13
-Lions want a winning record and even though I’m not sure Stafford plays a full game it may not matter. Packers are done for 2017.

Colts -4 over Texans, 20-12
-Colts are fighting, Texans are not.

Vikings -11.5 over Bears, 23-11
-Vikings want and need to lock up that 2nd seed, likely getting them all the way to the Super Bowl if things break right. Bears did a great job last week and are fight hard, but this is a motivated, elite team. Bears are one of the best bad teams though, and look good to make a leap next year in an uneven division.

Pats -15.5 over Jets, 34-10
-Pats aren’t losing this game. It is just whether they cover this insane spread or not. I think they do, and the Jets are about done.

Ethnic Slurs -3.5 over Giants, 20-14
-Washington is ending strong enough to earn Kirk a bunch of money elsewhere.

Cowboys -2.5 over Eagles, 24-18
-Eagles have only barely won, and don’t have motivation for a matchup the Cowboys will be mad enough to play full out for. Also, low key likely Dez’s last game in Dallas. Witten’s too?

Steelers -14 over Browns, 27-10
-This is the Browns’ Super Bowl, but with Kizer that may not matter. Can he gets to 25 picks this year? Let’s see.

Falcons -4 over Panthers, 27-20
-The desperation for making the playoffs will replace the generally better play from Carolina lately. Carolina may actually have to throw here: At some point they will, and that will be the moment we see whether they can actually make a run. Julio, also, you know touchdowns are possible, right? Please replace Sark Falcons, it ruined your year.

Broncos -3.5 over Chiefs, 20-13
-Chiefs are locked into their seed, and Broncos have many players playing for their futures. I actually hope Lynch is decent, otherwise he may not get another shot.

Titans -6 over Jags, 20-10
-One might think that the Jags would love to knock out the Titans, a divisional foe and their likely week 18 matchup. However, the Jags reached to securing their division last week by letting down versus the Niners. They are a young team, and the first trip for this group to the playoffs may be distracting from this relatively meaningless game.

Chargers -7.5 over Raiders, 30-13
-Raiders finding ways to lose right now. Chargers need a win.

49ers +3 over Rams, 24-14

-Ram are sitting everyone, so thanks for the Brady MVP McVay! Jimmy G inexplicably will be 5-0. 

Seahawks -7.5 over Cards, 20-7
-Seahawks aren’t perfect, but need this to try to get in, and the Cards are facing so much Arians uncertainty.

Saints -7.5 over Bucs, 31-16
-There are a lot of uncomfortable 7.5 point lines here this week, but that makes sense I guess. Saints still in position to decide some spots and some seeding. It will also be better for them to start the playoffs in better rhythm.

Bills -3 over Fins, 17-13
-Generally more motivation for the Bills here, and plus Cutler is literally days away from the beach.

Ravens -9.5 over Bengals, 17-6
-Bengals may want to play spoiler, but the Ravens need a win to be in. Bengals go quietly into their post Marvin Lewis future.


Record last week:
Straight Up: 11-5
By Spread: 8-8

Record this year:
Straight Up: 149-84
By Spread: 121-110

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1246-673
By Spread: 1025-898


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