Friday, January 18, 2019

NFL 2018 Week 20 Predictions: Championship Round


Championship Round Predictions
Almost there on both. Oh well, time for title games! It does seem to be the matchups we thought all along. They will be entertaining games, and any Super Bowl matchup would be fun, full of good storylines, and produce a viable champion.

Saints -3 over Rams, 30-26
-I love the number. If it were 3.5, I’d honestly probably be thinking of taking the points and the dog. However as talented as McVay and Goff are, Payton and Brees have been doing it just that much longer. Meanwhile I’ll take Kamara over a banged up and rusty Gurley and Ingram over the upstart CJ Anderson. The Brees/Michael Thomas connection will be key to watch. I looked back at last week and really saw a Rams team playing a flawed Cowboys team and not really put them away while the Saints came out of some rust to really run the last 2/3s of that game. This is in New Orleans, it'll be rocking, I’m taking the Saints.

Pats +3.5 over Chiefs, 27-21
-I’m nervous about this, but I’m betting on the infrastructure here. The Chiefs didn’t erupt last while the Pats came out and very much eviscerated the Chargers. Pats have the experience and superior coach (though not by as much as you think), and their QB can stand with PM just fine. I’m not sure how the Chiefs will stay with Pats running backs out in pass routes, and the Pats secondary will do okay versus the vertical passing game especially in the cold weather. Michel has a big game and the Pats control the time and tempo with a victory.


Record last week:
Straight Up: 3-1
By Spread: 2-2

Record in 2018:
Straight Up: 153-86
By Spread: 124-112

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1415-770
By Spread: 1161-1025


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