Sunday, December 26, 2010

NFL Slants for Week 16


Awesome week! Let's get right into it

Checking Down: 

-How many people got murdered by Andre Johnson sitting today, and Larry Fitzgerald/Reggie Wayne/Anquan Boldin combining for 6 catches for 81 yards with no touchdowns? (raises hand)
-Tim Tebow, um, that was kind of a decent QB performance. Is the world ending, or may he turn out to be a serviceable starter? Nah……
-Pittsburgh rocked, but, it was Carolina. I still wouldn’t be afraid of the Steelers, because the injuries are still quite extreme.
-Dallas showed again that the problem isn’t talent but heart. Roy Williams, catch that ball. If Arizona fixes the QB, that is probably their division next year. The defense is legit.
-The Jets are in trouble. This is not good. Them, on the road at KC in the Wild Card round, may not be a given win like many thought 4 weeks ago. KC can pull that out. If Forte can run for 110 yards, what can Charles do against them? And you think Thomas Jones won’t want revenge for being discarded by the Jets?
-The Bears may get the Saints or Rams at home second round, and could easily win that game, even if it is the Saints. Outdoors, in the elements, with a Cutler who looks like he may have finally gotten it, they will be dangerous.
-Baltimore’s pass defense is finally catching on, even if Ed Reed is literally on fire.
-Jacksonville was an enigma this season, but I am glad they are put away. Also, we only have to have one more week to have to watch the Rex Grossman, McNabb, Shanahan family. Two will be gone soon.
-Randy Moss actually disappeared. Have you seen him? I haven’t seen him. Kerry Collins hasn’t seen him.
-Side note, I actually started Moss in a 9th place game this week. I didn’t expect anything, and he finally performed to expectations for the first time this year.
-Detroit has a lot of heart, and the NFC North may be the best division by far next year. Minnesota may quickly turn into the bottom feeders in the division, which was crazy to saw a year ago.
-Miami needs to clear out most of the skill players on offense and defense, and most of the coaching staff. Then, they might be kind of okay.
-Matt Schaub’s stats are going to look awesome this year. So are Andre’s. And Arian Foster’s. They are going to look like a great triumvirate. Too bad the team stinks.
-San Diego, this is so disappointing. Number 1 offense, number 2 defense, no playoffs. Wow. If anyone ever says special teams don’t matter, point to the 2010 San Diego Chargers and their #1 O, #2 D, #32 Special Teams, and tell them different.
-Oakland is a much improved team and showed it today. They have speed and heart. Cable should stay. Indy was good enough to win, and will win the division. However, they are going out first round if they get the Ravens. Colts-Jets would actually be an exercise in futility and pain.
-Cincy should dump TO and probably Ocho too. Carson plays better with receivers who aren’t demanding the ball and actually run their routes. Who knew?
-Tampa Bay has stayed in this, and Josh Freeman may be a top 12 QB right now. This is going to be a good team in the future.
-Green Bay is dangerous. This team can light people up for 40 at any time. Imagine if they still had Nick Barnett and Finley at TE? They can also go on the round second round and KILL Chicago in Chicago. And that is exactly what I think happens next week too. I DO NOT want to see them in the playoffs either.
-Tom Coughlin might need to be finding a new job. Who wants odds on Bill Cowher being the head coach in the Meadowlands next year?


Going Long: 

-I’ve stayed away from promoting the wonderfulness of the Patriots as possible. But, I want to make a few points. First, Tom Brady and Bill Belichick should be the biggest slam dunks for MVP and Coach of the Year ever seen. Also, two stats are eye popping but are not getting press. Yards are important, as are points. But, the best indicator of wins is still turnovers. And in that, the 2010 Patriots are the greatest team ever. Brady is cooking at 319 without a pick, and is likely to bring that record into 2011 with a low key game versus Miami next week. Also, the team has only committed 9 turnovers this year, and is going to shatter the previous record of 13. I have no idea why these stats are not getting more attention. Anyone wondering how a team with a defense that bad can win games should consider this: it is easy to win games when you get two more possessions than the opponent per game. 

-On a similar statistical note, there have been some ridiculously statistically successful quarterbacks this year. In the past few years, there has been an insane amount of 4000 yard passers. 5 will get there again this year, with 4 more possible with big games next week. However, the numbers I am speaking off is TD passes and passer ratings. 4 QBs will be above 100 in rating, a great benchmark for success rarely achieved, and another 2 could get there. The TD to INT ratios are insanely efficient. Brady is 34/4, Vick 20/5, Rivers, 30/12, Rodgers 26/10 after a bad start, Cassel 27/5, Flacco 25/9 after a horrid start, Matt Ryan 25/9, Big Ben 15/5, Freeman 23/6, etc, etc. These are very efficient ratios, never before seen by this many QBs at once. Normally, 25/15 ratios are very good. QBs are protecting the ball really well, and it is no secret that these QBs are leading the successful teams. Efficiency is the new big yardage. 8 Passers are hitting over 65% of their passes, an INCREDIBLY efficient number. 20 are over 60%, the old benchmark of efficiency. Passing games are clicking in more cities than ever, and it has been great to watch. 


BLISS

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