2017 NFL Week 5 Predictions

Week 5 Predictions

Patriots -4.5 over Bucs, 37-31

-I’m very very nervous, but optimistic. I’ll trust in the system one more time and then evaluate if this goes badly. I still think Jameis likes to throw the ball to the other team too much, and the Pats do better on short weeks than most. Hightower playing more downs will help, and the Pats will invariably run the ball better than they have.

Browns pk over Jets, 20-15

-Take the home team I guess? I don’t even know anymore. The Jets almost couldn’t outBortle Bortles, so who the hell knows anymore.

Colts -1.5 over 49ers, 17-13

-As much as possible in that bad of a loss, the Colts impressed me versus Seattle. The 49ers play okay but just can’t score and make the big plays when it counts.

Titans pk over Fins, 24-10

-I have to assume even without Mariota that the Titans infrastructure beats the Fins infrastructure + Jay Cutler. What are the odds he is off the team by Week 10? 1-2? 1-3?

Bills +3.5 over Bengals, 23-22

-Bills might be a decent team, and the Bengals shouldn’t be giving this many points to them. Simply a function of an unfair line for what might be a competent team.

Chargers +3.5 over Giants, 23-26

-Someone wins this game. Either the Giants, Chargers, or the fans because we get a tie and both teams end up winless again going into week 6. In any case, this seems like a Chargers loss by 3, which means 4.5 is good.

Jags +8.5 over Steelers, 20-24

-Okay, I think I’ve got the pattern down. You Bortle one way one week then another way the next week. So, this week is good Blake? This is more of a bet against the Steelers blowing a team out right now that can somewhat score/run the ball.

Eagles -6 over Cards, 28-17

-Eagles are a nice little team no one is talking about. That front 7 is going to eat the Cards’ OLine.

Rams pk over Seahawks, 23-16

-The Rise of the Goff. The decline and utter rejection of the white and gold decorated uniforms from last week. This should be a tough little fight that I like the healthier Rams for. Seahawks need to find a way to get a pass rush, or this defense may not return to its full effectiveness, especially with their revolving door opposite Sherman.

Ravens +2.5 over Raiders, 17-16

-Ravens grind one out. This Carr injury sucks, the West is going to run away from the Raiders while he has to sit out. It would help if Crabtree was healthy or Cooper was alive.

Packers +2.5 over Cowboys, 31-26

-Gimme points with Aaron Rodgers versus a team with extreme flaws. Gimme gimme gimme!

Chiefs -1.5 over Texans, 26-23

-Watson, I’m impressed. If you do it here, versus the only 4-0 team, I’m ready to crown you. But I’ll bet on the establishment here until I see it again. Also, the Rookie of the Year will come from the teams in this game, the question is Hunt or Watson.

Vikings pk over the Bears, 19-13

-Wow, the number of no lines is amazingly high this week. Too hard to take the new QB starting, even if the other QB is Case Keenum. The Cook injury stinks too, but the Vikings defense is a tough first test for Truthbisky. The Bears only real strength is in their running backs, and the Vikings are going to stymy that strength. Good luck Bears.

Record last week:

Straight Up: 9-7

By Spread: 8-8

Record this year:

Straight Up: 32-29

By Spread: 21-39

Lifetime record:
Straight Up: 1129-638
By Spread: 925-827