Sunday, October 31, 2010

NFL 2010 Week 8 Predictions

Hello everyone, 

This is a truly fun week. We have 6 teams on byes. All the home teams are favored. All the lines are small. There are some good games to watch. And the playoff intrigue really starts to pick up. Oh, and it is Halloween. Some guy named Moss is coming back to NE. He is bringing some dude named Favre.

Good luck!


My top 8: previous ranking in parenthesis
1. Pittsburgh (1) – Things are getting murkier because NE, BAL, and PIT won but didn’t really win convincingly.
2. New England (2) – Out of the top 3, I actually like their week 7 the best because they won most convincingly, early in the game, and are still gelling.
3. Baltimore (3) – Giving Buffalo desperation points, the Ravens made a statement with a “we are the better freaking team and we are winning this game” comeback.While the getting down early is a bad sign, the coming back in such a determined way is a great one. I still think they will beat Pitt again, and would have beaten NE if they had been at home.
4. Indianapolis (4) – They didn’t lose.
5. New York Jets (5) – See number 4
6. Atlanta (7) – They win and move up, and are probably still the best team in the NFC. I mean, that isn’t saying much.
7. New York Giants (NR) – They have been impressive, and I would give them good odds to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. They have pass rush, good running game, and have a QB that has won it all.
8. Houston (NR) – We will see. I honestly had to rank someone, and I think they are really talented. However, they may lose their spot with a loss this week to Indy.

Fallen Out: New Orleans, Philadelphia



My bottom 4: previous ranking in parenthesis
29. Denver (NR) – That was terrible. And it was Oakland too.
30. San Francisco (NR) – Um, wow. Troy Smith anyone? Cheers!
31. Carolina (30) – Over under on Steve Smith punching someone out soon? 2.5 games?
32. Buffalo (32) – Ryan Fitzpatrick is trying really hard, of course that is probably the position they will address in the off season. And that is a great reason of why this team is 0-16. 


NFL 2010 week 8 picks:

Dolphins +3.5 over Bengals, 24-13
-I see the Dolphins as being significantly better than Bengals, and being underrated in general. They are also way more desperate.The dolphins should run all over them.

Chiefs -7.5 over Bills, 31-20
-Chiefs are much better. Start Moeaki if you have him, the Bills have no defense against tight ends. Fitzpatrick will again put up numbers in a loss.

Rams -3 over Panthers, 24-10
-The Panthers will be without DeAngelo Williams and also Jeff Otah, so this will be a rout.

Packers +6 over Jets, 23-20
-Packers are beaten up and tired, and the Jets are rested.However, I do not trust Sanchez, and I think the Packers are at least desperate enough to cover. The Jets may have some bye week rust, and Sanchez may get pick sixed by Charles Woodson here. This could actually look decently ugly. 

Lions -3 over Skins, 21-17
-The Skins are not that good, especially in the passing game. They are over reliant on Santana Moss (we all know what happens when that continues, he turns in one of his patented 1 catch for 7 yards games). McNabb was terrible last week. The Lions are rested, get their QB back, and will be reinvigorated.

Chargers -3.5 over Titans, 34-26
-Chris Johnson could have a couple big runs. However, Rivers is due for a huge game, and the Chargers might get the Titans looking on a West Coast game. I also don’t trust Collins or Vince Young in this game for both travel and age/health reasons. 

Pats -5.5 over Vikings, 31-13
-This could get uglier. The Vikings are going to get creamed via blitzes and coverages. The Pats are the better team, and have won 23 at home in a row. I just don’t see how the Vikes beat them, and Moss will be blanketed and booed all night.

Cards -3 over Bucs, 17-13
-The Bucs didn’t really deserve to win last week, and the Cardinals are feisty at home. Also, Larry Fitzgerald cannot do it all by himself but he is really due for a dominating performance where he breaks out no matter what is going on at the QB position.

Saints PK over Steelers, 31-24
-The Saints are due for a big win. They are at home. They were embarrassed last week. The Steelers snuck out the last few victories, and now have lost Aaron Smith. That really changes the defense. Saints get out early and Big Ben has a couple of picks while pressing.

Colts -5.5 over Texans, 37-27
-The Colts are hurt. They look old, small, overmatched. They can’t possibly make this run again. They have lost a key player recently. Oh wait, they do this every year? They have never lost a season series to the Texans? They are playing in prime time? Manning is still alive? Colts win.



Record last week:
Straight up: 5-7
Against the Spread: 6-6

Record this year:
Straight up: 44-27
Against the Spread: 32-40

Lifetime record:
Straight up: 162-95
Against the Spread: 132-126

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